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Belinda Bencic vs. Anna Kalinskaya prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Bencic vs Kalinskaya predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Belinda Bencic will take on Anna Kalinskaya in the round of 32 at the WTA Rome event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Belinda Bencic as the most likely winner of the Bencic vs. Kalinskaya match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bencic vs. Kalinskaya prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Bencic-Kalinskaya women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Bencic a 73% chance of winning against Kalinskaya at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Bencic has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kalinskaya (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Belinda Bencic vs. Anna Kalinskaya odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bencic | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -278 | +230 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-105) | u20.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bencic vs. Kalinskaya picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bencic | -278 |
| First Set | Kalinskaya | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Belinda Bencic to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bencic vs. Kalinskaya updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Belinda Bencic and Anna Kalinskaya is scheduled to start on Saturday at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Belinda Bencic vs. Anna Kalinskaya
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Belinda Bencic, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Anna Kalinskaya at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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