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Aston Villa vs. Manchester United prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Manchester United predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Aston Villa will square off with Manchester United in Premier League action at Villa Park on Sunday, beginning at 11:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Manchester United game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Manchester United 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 45.0% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 31.0% chance for Manchester United, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Aston Villa | Manchester United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +270 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -162 | +132 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester United | +270 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +132 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester United to win.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AVL 1-1 MUN | 11.1% |
| AVL 2-1 MUN | 9.2% |
| AVL 1-0 MUN | 8.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance that both Aston Villa and Manchester United score, and a 40.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Aston Villa and Manchester United at Villa Park is scheduled to commence in the United States at 11:30 AM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 45.0% win probability on Sunday, Manchester United has a 31.0% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aston Villa vs. Manchester United insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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