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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sabalenka vs Cirstea predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea will lock horns in the round of 32 of the WTA Italian Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Cirstea match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Cirstea prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Sabalenka-Cirstea women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Sabalenka an 85% chance of beating Cirstea at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Sabalenka has a 79% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cirstea (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabalenka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -649 | +520 |
| First Set | -500 | +350 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-128) | +5.5 (-104) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-105) | u19.5 (-133) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabalenka vs. Cirstea picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cirstea | +520 |
| First Set | Cirstea | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sabalenka vs. Cirstea updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 9:55 AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:55 AM ET/6:55AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat Sorana Cirstea at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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