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Arsenal vs. Newcastle Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [5/18/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Arsenal vs Newcastle matchup.

Arsenal-Newcastle Predictions and Game Preview.
Emirates Stadium sets the stage for the Premier League matchup between Arsenal and Newcastle this Sunday.

Arsenal will take on Newcastle in Premier League action at Emirates Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 11:30AM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Arsenal-Newcastle game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Arsenal a 56.8% chance of winning, Newcastle a 21.0% chance, and a 22.2% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Arsenal vs. Newcastle predictions page.

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Arsenal vs. Newcastle Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Arsenal and Newcastle 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 56.8% chance of Arsenal winning, a 21.0% chance for Newcastle, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.

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Arsenal vs. Newcastle Odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Arsenal Newcastle Draw
-115 +310 +275

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-136 +112

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Arsenal vs. Newcastle Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Arsenal vs. Newcastle matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ARS 1-1 NEW 10.4%
ARS 2-1 NEW 9.9%
ARS 1-0 NEW 9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.7% chance of the yes hitting, and a 44.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Arsenal vs. Newcastle Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Premier League matchup between Arsenal and Newcastle at Emirates Stadium is scheduled to commence in the USA at 11:30AM ET.

  • Who: Arsenal vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
  • Time: 11:30AM ET/8:30AM PT
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Arsenal vs. Newcastle matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Newcastle vs. Arsenal picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Arsenal has a 56.8% win probability on Sunday, Newcastle has a 21.0% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arsenal vs. Newcastle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Stay up-to-date with the latest Premier League news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the latest probabilities for the Premier League title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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