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Arsenal vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Arsenal vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Thursday.
Arsenal will face Liverpool in Premier League action at Emirates Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of the Arsenal vs. Liverpool game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Premier League match between Arsenal and Liverpool 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 59.2% chance of Arsenal winning, an 18.9% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Arsenal | Liverpool | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -170 | +500 | +330 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -114 | -106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool | +500 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -114 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ARS 1-0 LIV | 10.6% |
| ARS 1-1 LIV | 10.4% |
| ARS 2-0 LIV | 10.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.4% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Premier League game between Arsenal and Liverpool at Emirates Stadium is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arsenal vs. Liverpool
- Date: Thursday, January 8, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Arsenal has a 59.2% win probability on Thursday, Liverpool has an 18.9% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arsenal vs. Liverpool insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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