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Andrey Rublev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Rublev vs Kecmanovic predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Andrey Rublev will take on Miomir Kecmanovic in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner of the Rublev vs. Kecmanovic match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Rublev vs. Kecmanovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Rublev-Kecmanovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Rublev a 73% chance of defeating Kecmanovic at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Rublev has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rublev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Andrey Rublev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rublev | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -250 | +225 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-122) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-130) | u21.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rublev vs. Kecmanovic picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rublev | -250 |
| First Set | Kecmanovic | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Andrey Rublev to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rublev vs. Kecmanovic updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Andrey Rublev and Miomir Kecmanovic is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Miomir Kecmanovic at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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