Ducks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Game 5 [2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs]

The Vegas Golden Knights will take on the Anaheim Ducks in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Ducks vs. Golden Knights Game 5 matchup.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win Game 5?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Ducks and Golden Knights, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 60% chance of defeating the Ducks in Game 5 of the series.

According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Ducks vs. Golden Knights Game 5 odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ducks	Golden Knights
Puck Line	+1.5 (-180)	-1.5 (+154)
Moneyline	+136	-160
Total	o6.5 (+110)	u6.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ducks vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet for Game 5

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Golden Knights -1.5	+154
Moneyline	Golden Knights	-160
Total	Over 6.5	+110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Ducks vs. Golden Knights player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Golden Knights?

According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Golden Knights.

Our projections give Dorofeyev a 38.4% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson	30.7%
Cutter Gauthier	28.2%
Chris Kreider	24.8%
Troy Terry	23.7%
Alex Killorn	22.2%

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Pavel Dorofeyev	38.4%
Jack Eichel	33.6%
Tomas Hertl	32.2%
Mitch Marner	32.0%
Ivan Barbashev	28.3%

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	First Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson	5.1%
Cutter Gauthier	4.9%
Troy Terry	4.4%
Alex Killorn	4.3%
Chris Kreider	4.1%

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	First Goal Probability
Pavel Dorofeyev	7.4%
Tomas Hertl	6.2%
Jack Eichel	6.0%
Mitch Marner	5.5%
Ivan Barbashev	5.0%

Ducks vs. Golden Knights Game 5 updates and essential details

Tuesday's Game 5 between the Golden Knights and Ducks in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. Vegas Golden Knights
• Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Ducks and Golden Knights, reached the NHL Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.