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Read Article Ducks vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Monday.
The Edmonton Oilers will take on the Anaheim Ducks in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Rogers Place on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Ducks vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Ducks vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Ducks and Oilers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Oilers a 62% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Ducks vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ducks | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-154) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +164 | -190 |
| Total | o6.5 (+130) | u6.5 (+125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ducks vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Ducks +1.5 | -154 |
| Moneyline | Ducks | +164 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | +130 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ducks vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 46.2% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 32.7% |
| Leo Carlsson | 30.0% |
| Troy Terry | 23.9% |
| Chris Kreider | 23.1% |
| Alex Killorn | 22.7% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 46.2% |
| Connor McDavid | 42.7% |
| Zach Hyman | 33.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.4% |
| Matt Savoie | 22.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 5.3% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.1% |
| Troy Terry | 4.2% |
| Alex Killorn | 3.8% |
| Chris Kreider | 3.8% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.8% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.0% |
| Zach Hyman | 5.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.1% |
| Matt Savoie | 3.6% |
Ducks vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Oilers and Ducks in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Monday, April 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Ducks and Oilers, made the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Monday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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