Jun 5, 2026
Belgium vs. Egypt prediction refreshed after 2026 World Cup squad announcements
Read Article Argentina vs. Algeria prediction refreshed after 2026 World Cup roster releases
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Algeria vs Argentina FIFA World Cup game.
Following the official squad announcements for the World Cup, our experts have determined the updated win probabilities and edges for the Group J clash between Algeria and Argentina at Arrowhead Stadium on Tuesday, June 16.
Dimers Pro users have access to the updated analysis below, where we build on our early Algeria-Argentina predictions to detail the latest projections and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official squads for both nations.
Official World Cup squads: Argentina and Algeria
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
Argentina
Goalkeepers: Emiliano Martínez (Aston Villa), Gerónimo Rulli (Marseille), Juan Musso (Atlético Madrid)
Defenders: Gonzalo Montiel (River Plate), Nahuel Molina (Atlético Madrid), Lisandro Martínez (Manchester United), Nicolás Otamendi (Benfica), Leonardo Balerdi (Marseille), Cristian Romero (Tottenham), Facundo Medina (Marseille), Nicolás Tagliafico (Lyon)
Midfielders: Leandro Paredes (Boca Juniors), Rodrigo De Paul (Inter Miami), Exequiel Palacios (Bayer Leverkusen), Enzo Fernández (Chelsea), Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool), Giovani Lo Celso (Real Betis), Valentín Barco (Strasbourg)
Forwards: Lionel Messi (Inter Miami), Nico Paz (Como), Thiago Almada (Atlético Madrid), Nicolás González (Atletico Madrid), Giuliano Simeone (Atlético Madrid), Lautaro Martínez (Internazionale), Jose Manuel López (Palmeiras), Julián Álvarez (Atlético Madrid)
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
Algeria
Goalkeepers: Oussama Benbot (USM Alger), Melvin Masstil (Stade Nyonnaise), Luca Zidane (Granada)
Defenders: Achraf Abada (USM Alger), Rayan Ait Nouri (Manchester City), Zinedine Belaid (JS Kabylie), Rafik Belghali (Verona), Ramy Bensebaini (Borussia Dortmund), Samir Chergui (Paris FC), Jaouen Hadjam (Young Boys), Aissa Mandi (Lille), Mohamed Amine Tougai (Esperance)
Midfielders: Houssem Aouar (Al Ittihad), Nabil Bentaleb (Lille), Hicham Boudaoui (Nice), Fares Chaibi (Eintracht Frankfurt), Ibrahim Maza (Bayer Leverkusen), Yassine Titraoui (Charleroi), Ramiz Zerrouki (FC Twente)
Forwards: Mohamed Amine Amoura (VfL Wolfsburg), Nadir Benbouali (Győri ETO), Adil Boulbina (Al Duhail), Fares Ghedjemis (Frosinone), Amine Gouiri (Marseille), Riyad Mahrez (Al Ahli), Anis Hadj Moussa (Feyenoord)
Manager: Vladimir Petkovic
Updated Argentina vs. Algeria predictions and picks including +800 play
Leveraging our latest data and the above squads, we have re-run the numbers on this fixture. Here are the fine-tuned predictions:
- Win probabilities: Argentina 69.5%, Algeria 11.0%, Draw 19.5%
- Both teams to score: Yes 41.7%, No 58.3%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 50.1%, Under 49.9%
- Win to nil: Argentina 45.1%, Algeria 6.4%
- Double chance (win or draw): Argentina 89.0%, Algeria 30.5%
- Most likely final score: 2-0 Argentina win (14.1%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for Argentina and Algeria.
Argentina vs. Algeria picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Algeria | +800 |
| Total | Over 2.5 | -110 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge here being on Algeria to win.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on Algeria's odds provides the best long-term value right now.
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Algeria vs. Argentina World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Argentina and Algeria is scheduled for June 16, 2026, with the two teams starting their tournaments in what is looking to be the largest World Cup in history.
- Teams: Argentina vs. Algeria
- Tournament stage: Group J
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Conclusion: Argentina vs. Algeria prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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