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Alexei Popyrin vs. Martin Damm prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Popyrin vs Damm predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Alexei Popyrin will take on Martin Damm in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alexei Popyrin as the most likely winner of the Popyrin vs. Damm match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Popyrin vs. Damm prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Popyrin-Damm men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Popyrin a 65% chance of beating Damm at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Popyrin has a 63% chance of winning the first set, while the under 25.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alexei Popyrin vs. Martin Damm odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Popyrin | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -205 | +175 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Total Games | o25.5 (-105) | u25.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Popyrin vs. Damm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Damm | +175 |
| First Set | Damm | -135 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Martin Damm to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Popyrin vs. Damm updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Alexei Popyrin and Martin Damm is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alexei Popyrin vs. Martin Damm
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alexei Popyrin, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Martin Damm at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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