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Read Article Alexandre Muller vs. Jan-Lennard Struff prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Muller vs Struff predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff are scheduled to meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alexandre Muller as the most likely winner of the Muller vs. Struff match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Muller vs. Struff prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Muller-Struff men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Muller a 58% chance of defeating Struff at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Alexandre Muller vs. Jan-Lennard Struff odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Muller | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -147 | +138 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-105) | u23.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Muller vs. Struff picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Struff | +138 |
| First Set | Struff | -140 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Jan-Lennard Struff to win.
Although Struff is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Muller vs. Struff updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alexandre Muller vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alexandre Muller, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Jan-Lennard Struff at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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