NBA Playoffs Thunder vs. Rockets Game 5: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 29, 2020 4:48 PM

The Thunder somehow managed to win Game Four against the Rockets, leveling the series at 2-2.

Today, Houston, who will welcome back Russell Westbrook for this game, will need to respond if they want to grab the advantage and edge a step closer to progress.

Can the Rockets take a 3-2 lead or will the Thunder find a way to win again? Game 5 Bet Hub predictions below 👇

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: Thunder +4.5 (-115*)
💵 Moneyline: Rockets (-196*)
👇 Over/Under: u228 Total Points (-110*)
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BEST: Spread
Thunder +4.5 (-115*) is a 52% chance to cover 

Oklahoma City continues to step up down the stretch and now have won two straight games, tieing the series at 2-2. They are the form team of this series but still enter this game as slight underdogs. Therefore it is no surprise that our model has highlighted them at the spread as the top pick in Game Five. They are a 52 percent chance of covering.

Moneyline
Rockets H2H (-196*) has a 66% chance of winning

The Rockets started this series as underdogs, but with James Harden's play, they've catapulted themselves into favoritism to advance, even after dropping the last two games. Our predictive model thinks this will be close, but ultimately H-Town will get the win.

Over/Under
u228 (-110*) has a 51% probability

Despite Houston's style of play, it's been a relatively low-scoring series compared to what many were expecting. Look for that trend to continue in this one, as our projections suggest it will stay under 228 total points.

Dimers' take-out

This is a massive game for both teams, as a 3-2 lead will be crucial heading into Game Six. The Thunder have been playing well of late and are worth keeping an eye on in what should be a low-scoring contest. If you're interested in opening an online sportsbook account you can review all of your options here.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing