NBA Playoffs Magic vs. Bucks Game 5: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 29, 2020 4:33 PM

After a week charged with emotion, NBA basketball is back on the ticket, and it will be the Milwaukee Bucks looking to close things out against Orlando.

All eyes will be on the Bucks, who were the first to lead the nation-wide boycotts earlier this week to campaign for social reform. They’ll know the country will be watching to see how they return to action.


Will Milwaukee move on or can Orlando push it to another game? Game 5 Bet Hub predictions below ๐Ÿ‘‡

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
๐Ÿ”ฅBEST: Magic to cover +13.5
๐Ÿ’ตMoney Line: Magic (+750*)
๐Ÿ‘‡Over/Under: Over 225 Total Points (-110*)
๐ŸšจBest online sportsbooks here

 

BEST: Spread
Magic +13.5 is a 55% chance to cover

Despite being without some key players, the Magic continue to fight in this series. They are currently down 3-1 but haven't lost a game by more than 15 points. Our model has projected them as a 56 percent chance to cover at +13.5 and considering their strong play and the hot hand of Nikola Vucevic, it's no surprise it's our top pick for the game.

Money Line
Magic H2H has a 4% edge vs. the sportsbooks

It will shock no one that the Bucks come into this game as heavy favorites, however, the value at the Moneyline is actually with the Magic. Our data has identified a 4 percent edge in the market to Orlando, which means they are a much better chance of scoring a win than their odds suggest.

Over/Under
o225 has a 51% probability

Three of the four games in this series have gone over and we're expecting that trend to continue today. Lots of offense on both sides with Vucevic in form for the Magic and Giannis averaging over 30 per game. Look for the points to flow.

Dimers' take-out

The Bucks were clear favorites to win this series from the outset. Their Game One loss caused quite a stir and the Magic will need to pull off something like that again if they want to survive. Expect them to put it all on the line in a high-scoring game. If you're keen to tail any of our picks, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks here.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing