NBA Playoffs Mavericks vs. Clippers Game 5: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 23, 2020 2:58 PM

Luka Doncic was the hero in Game 4, leveling up the series at 2-2, and he will have to be at his very best again if the Mavericks want to take a lead.

Los Angeles, on the other hand, will be hoping Paul George can finally find a way out of his shooting slump and help Kawhi Leonard.

Can the Mavericks stun everybody again and take a 3-2 lead over the Clippers? Game 5 Bet Hub predictions below 👇

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: u236.5 Total Points
💵Money Line: Mavericks (+295*)
💪Spread: Mavericks +8
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BEST: Over/Under
u236.5 Total Points has a 53% probability

So far, this series has been free-flowing in terms of scoring, with both teams getting after it. However, with the pressure on the Clippers, look for them to get back to what they're known for, which is hard-nosed defense. Currently, the over/under total for this game is set at 236.5. Our projections suggest there is a 53 percent chance of it staying under that number, which means it is our top pick for this game.

Money Line
Mavericks H2H has a 2.3% edge vs. the sportsbooks

Dallas once again comes in as underdogs but our data actually highlights that they have a 2.3 percent edge against the books - despite being rated just a 27% chance of winning by our model. Kristaps Porzingis will miss Game 5, however the Mavericks have shown they can win without him, so don't be surprised if we get served up an upset in this one.

Spread
Mavericks +8 is a 53% chance to cover

Despite their Game 4 victory, the Mavericks are +8 in spread betting. The two games they have lost in this series have been by single digits, and they have shown they are willing to fight all the way to the final buzzer. Look for them to cover in Game 5.

Dimers' take-out

This has been arguably the most exciting series of the first round and Game 5 should continue that trend. All eyes will once again be on superstar Luka Doncic who continues to amaze, while there is no doubt Paul George would be feeling the pressure. Don't sleep on the Mavericks in what should be a tighter and tougher game than we've seen previously. If you're keen to tail any of our picks, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks here.

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