Indians @ Pirates: Predictions, picks and bets

By

August 20, 2020 5:25 PM

The Pittsburgh Pirates are currently lagging at the bottom of NL Central and face touch opposition on the Cleveland Indians today. 

Although the Indians are favorites, our predictive modelling system is quite bullish on the Pirates today, giving them a big chance both at the run line and ML.

Check out our predictions and plays below πŸ‘‡

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

πŸ”₯ BEST: Total runs: Over 7.5 (-115*)
πŸ’΅ Moneyline: Pirates (+225*)
πŸ’ͺ Run line: Pirates +1.5 (+130*)

Best bet

Total runs: Over 7.5 (-115*) has a 59% probability

These two have faced off twice this week with the total runs being 9 and then 7. Our model is confident it will back up above that 7.5 marker, giving it a massive 59% chance.

 

Moneyline: Pirates (+225*) has a 7.1% edge

Although our data suggests that Pittsburgh are under a 50% chance of winning today, the +225* odds are way too long. A 7.1% edge can be gained on the sportsbooks.

Run line: Pirates+1.5 (-165*) has a 7.5% edge

Another STRONG edge at the run line, with the Pirates much more like to cover than the sportsbooks are thinking.

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Dimers' take-out

Cleveland has played some solid baseball of late but our data is leaning towards the Pirates making a game of this and possibly even stealing a win.

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*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.