NBA Playoffs Mavericks vs. Clippers: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 19, 2020 1:22 PM

NBA fans are spoiled for choice in round one of the playoffs, but the Mavericks and Clippers series may be the best matchup of all.

Game One between these teams was a roller coaster ride that resulted in a 118-110 Clippers win. However, it clearly showed us that this is going to be one helluva series.

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Here are our best plays for Game Two:

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Mavericks +6.5 @-110
💵 Moneyline: Mavericks +225 @+225
👆 Over/Under: Under 230 @-110

 

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Best Bet: Mavericks +6.5 (-110*) has a 52% probability

It's purely speculation, but if Kristaps Porzingis did not get ejected in the series opener, the Mavericks could very well be up 1-0. Even without him, they pushed the Clippers all the way, thus they are a great pick to cover in Game Two. Our model has projected them as a 52 percent chance to win at the spread and if Doncic and Porzingis both fire, they will no doubt be tough to stop.

 

Moneyline: Mavericks (+225*) has a 0.5% edge

As mentioned, the ejection of Porzingis was somewhat of a turning point in Game One. What was also of note was the nervous start from the Mavericks, which saw them down by double digits in the opening minutes of the game. Entering Game Two, they should be much more switched on from the jump and our predictions have highlighted them as the top pick at the Moneyline at +225. We've calculated Dallas as having a 0.5 percent edge in the market and thus the smart money is with them.

Over/Under: Under 230 (-110*) has a 50% probability 

The Mavericks were the top-rated offense in the regular season, thus the total points mark remains high for Game Two of this series. However, the opener only had 228 total points and it would be no surprise if this one was once again relatively low-scoring compared to what we've seen from Dallas in the past. Take the under.

Dimers' take-out

Game One between the Clippers and Mavericks had a little bit of everything and we're hoping that Game Two is the same. Keep your eye on Dallas, as they look more than capable of causing an upset.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing