Predictions and picks for Avalanche @ Coyotes

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August 17, 2020 6:29 PM

The Coyotes took the W in game three of this series to bring the score back to 2-1 but the Avalanche are still the stronger team and our data has them pushing their series lead back to two today.

Giving them a 61% chance at the moneyline, our model is confident that Colorado will be able to flip the last result on its head and give themselves three chances to qualify for the next round.

Check out all our projections and bets for game four here.

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

Lock: Coyotes +1.5 (-170*)
Moneyline: Avalanche (-190*)
Total goals: Over 5 (+120*)

Lock

Puck line: Coyotes +1.5 (-170*) has a 64% probability

Although our projections do have the Avalanche as the more likely team to win this one, the Coyotes did one last time out and also kept game two to a 3-2 scoreline. Our data suggests they should be able to cover again for the third consecutive game.

 

Moneyline: Avalanche (-190*) has a 61% probability

The Avalanche won’t be happy with dropping game three after their strong start to the playoffs and our projections have them chalking up a win here.

Total goals: Over 5 (+120*) has a 48% probability

Although it is slightly under a 50% chance of happening, the plus money on offer makes this the smart play when it comes to total goals. A chance at a push also which would see the bet void.

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Dimers' take-out

The Avalanche should win this one according to our model, but the Coyotes have shown something in the past two games and should put up a fight.

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*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.