Stanley Cup Finals Game Five: Stars vs. Lightning Predictions and Picks


September 26, 2020 11:40 AM

The Tampa Bay Lightning have won three games in a row. All they need is one more to win their second Stanley Cup.

After losing the Stanley Cup Finals opener, the Lightning has been clinical, justifying their pre-series favoritism with wins in games 2, 3, and 4. That included a 5-4 win in overtime last night.

The Lightning has all the momentum. Can they parlay that into a title? Speaking of parlays, get up to 40% winnings boost with BetMGM when you opt-in and place 4-7 leg parlay on any combination of sports or event.

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: OVER/UNDER: o5.5 goals (-141*)
💵 Moneyline: Lightning (-167*)
🏒Puck line: Lightning -1.5 (+163*)
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OVER/UNDER: o5.5 goals (-141*) has a 4.5% edge on the sportsbooks

This series has been an entertaining one with an average of 6.5 goals per contest. The over/under result in the four games have been 2 overs and 2 pushes. That kind of trend points to only one thing – the over. Take it with some comfort – this one is going to be another goal-fest.

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💵 Moneyline
Lightning H2H (-167*) has a 60% probability

Game 5 is looking likely to double as a victory lap for Tampa Bay who have been simply irresistible since their slip up in Game 1. They went into this series as the overwhelming favorites. They’ll be confirmed as Champions today.‍




🏒 Puck Line
Lightning -1.5 (+163*) has a 0.9% edge on the sportsbooks

To roll into our predictive model’s thinking, we’re expecting a lot of goals and a win by Tampa. They were made to work for it last night, going into overtime and only winning by the solitary goal, but once they turn the jets on and pull away, Dallas’ heads will drop and we might just see the Lightning put some icing on the cake.


🏒 Dimers' take-out

The COVID pandemic tore apart the fabric of American sports in March, and for a long time, there was doubt that we would see a return for any of the pro sports this year. The execution of the return for the NHL in their Canadian bubble has been perfect, and the league should be commended for pulling it off. Tampa Bay will wrap up a challenging year with the sweetest of victories.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing