NHL Playoffs 2020 New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game Three: Predictions, picks and bets

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September 11, 2020 3:27 PM

We’ve got Friday Night hockey tonight, with the New York Islanders aiming to avoid a 3-0 deficit against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Lightning won game two 2-1 and will be looking to put the Islanders to the sword here in game three.

Will the Lightning extend the lead to 3-0 or can the Islanders get one back? NHL Bet Hub predictions below 👇

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Islanders +1.5
☝ Over/Under: o5.5
💵 Moneyline: Islanders
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BEST: Puck line

Islanders +1.5 has a 64% probability

The Islanders were much better last time out, keeping the margin at just one as opposed to the 8-2 romping they got in game one. Our model has them covering again in this one as they fight to avoid a 3-0 deficit.

Over/Under

Total goals over 5.5 has a 4.9% edge against the sportsbooks

Right now, our model is giving this game a 48% chance of going over but with the +125 odds available, it’s definitely the better play. The Isles have only scored three goals so far this series and will be looking to change that tonight.

Moneyline

Lightning (-165*) to win has a 60% probability

Although we’re taking the Isles at the PL, it’s hard to look past this in-form Lightning side as the moneyline.

Dimers' take-out

The Isles will be determined to get a win on the board here and out model thinks they will get extremely close. If you’re keen for some action, check out the best Week 1 NFL promos here.

 
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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.