Kings vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Pistons NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Kings
116
137
Little Caesars Arena
Pistons
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM1234T
Kings
35 30 28 23 116
Pistons
35 43 35 24 137
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    <1%
  • Pistons
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Kings
35 30 28 23 116
Pistons
35 43 35 24 137
Q4 00:40 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Marcus Sasser makes two point driving floating jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
Q4 1:44 Maxime Raynaud misses two point turnaround hook shot
Q4 2:33 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Dylan Cardwell makes two point putback dunk
Q4 2:59 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:18 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:29 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-137
  2. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Devin Carter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-137
  3. Q4 00:24
    Kings personal foul
  4. Q4 00:24
    Pistons offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:24
    +1
    Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-137
  6. Q4 00:40
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:53
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:32
    +2
    Marcus Sasser makes two point driving floating jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
    116-137
  9. Q4 1:44
    Maxime Raynaud misses two point turnaround hook shot
  10. Q4 2:33
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    114-136
  11. Q4 2:55
    +2
    Dylan Cardwell makes two point putback dunk
    114-134
  12. Q4 2:59
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 3:18
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    112-134
  14. Q4 3:21
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 3:29
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 3:55
    Pistons personal foul
  17. Q4 3:55
    Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Javonte Green, Chaz Lanier, Daniss Jenkins, Paul Reed)
  18. Q4 4:08
    +2
    Paul Reed makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  19. Q4 4:13
    Chaz Lanier misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 4:25
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  21. Q4 4:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  22. Q4 4:44
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 5:01
    Pistons personal foul
  24. Q4 5:01
    Instant replay
  25. Q4 5:01
    Pistons personal foul
  26. Q4 5:01
    Keon Ellis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  27. Q4 5:01
    Nique Clifford personal foul (Double)
  28. Q4 5:01
    Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Chaz Lanier, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey, Paul Reed)
  29. Q4 5:01
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
  30. Q4 5:01
    Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Chaz Lanier, Daniss Jenkins, Paul Reed, Bobi Klintman)
  31. Q4 5:14
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 5:40
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    110-130
  33. Q4 5:52
    Pistons personal foul
  34. Q4 5:52
    Instant replay
  35. Q4 5:58
    Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 6:13
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 6:22
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 6:35
    Kings personal foul
  39. Q4 6:35
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-129
  40. Q4 6:52
    Pistons personal foul
  41. Q4 6:57
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 7:17
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  43. Q4 7:33
    Javonte Green turnover (bad pass)
  44. Q4 7:37
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 7:37
    Pistons personal foul
  46. Q4 7:37
    Javonte Green turnover (bad pass)
  47. Q4 7:46
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  48. Q4 8:03
    Kings 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 8:03
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Jaden Ivey, Cade Cunningham)
  50. Q4 8:03
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    106-124
  51. Q4 8:03
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    106-126
  52. Q4 8:21
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  53. Q4 8:26
    Pistons turnover
  54. Q4 8:32
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 8:56
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    104-120
  56. Q4 9:05
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 9:19
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    102-120
  58. Q4 9:34
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-119
  59. Q4 9:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  60. Q4 9:43
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 10:21
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  62. Q4 10:23
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  63. Q4 10:23
    Kings personal foul
  64. Q4 10:44
    +1
    Malik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    97-116
  65. Q4 10:53
    Pistons personal foul
  66. Q4 11:00
    Kings offensive rebound
  67. Q4 11:20
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    95-116
  68. Q4 11:36
    Instant replay
  69. Q4 11:51
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  70. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  71. Q4 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
  72. Q3 00:03
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  73. Q3 00:29
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  74. Q3 00:44
    Kings turnover
  75. Q3 1:16
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  76. Q3 1:24
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  77. Q3 1:47
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    93-109
  78. Q3 2:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    90-109
  79. Q3 2:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    87-107
  80. Q3 2:54
    Dylan Cardwell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  81. Q3 2:54
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
  82. Q3 2:54
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dylan Cardwell, Malik Monk, Maxime Raynaud, Keon Ellis)
  83. Q3 3:05
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    87-105
  84. Q3 3:17
    Pistons personal foul
  85. Q3 3:17
    Jaden Ivey turnover (offensive foul)
  86. Q3 3:38
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    87-102
  87. Q3 3:46
    Kings personal foul
  88. Q3 3:46
    Dennis Schroder misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  89. Q3 3:46
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
  90. Q3 3:56
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  91. Q3 4:27
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    83-102
  92. Q3 4:46
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    82-99
  93. Q3 4:46
    Pistons personal foul
  94. Q3 5:11
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    80-99
  95. Q3 5:37
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  96. Q3 5:51
    Kings personal foul
  97. Q3 5:51
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    78-96
  98. Q3 6:01
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder, Dylan Cardwell, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis)
  99. Q3 6:03
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    77-96
  100. Q3 6:11
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 6:35
    Kings turnover
  102. Q3 6:50
    Tobias Harris offensive rebound
  103. Q3 7:03
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  104. Q3 7:19
    Pistons turnover
  105. Q3 7:53
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  106. Q3 7:55
    Kings personal foul
  107. Q3 8:12
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    75-89
  108. Q3 8:32
    Kings turnover
  109. Q3 8:52
    Kings 60 second timeout
  110. Q3 8:58
    Kings turnover
  111. Q3 9:17
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 9:38
    DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
  113. Q3 9:56
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    72-84
  114. Q3 10:06
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-81
  115. Q3 10:10
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  116. Q3 10:15
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  117. Q3 10:38
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    70-81
  118. Q3 10:44
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  119. Q3 10:54
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  120. Q3 11:07
    Kings 60 second timeout
  121. Q3 11:07
    Pistons offensive rebound
  122. Q3 11:23
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    67-80
  123. Q3 11:42
    Kings personal foul
  124. Q2 00:00
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  125. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  126. Q3 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
  127. Q2 00:11
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  128. Q2 00:17
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  129. Q2 00:35
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    65-76
  130. Q2 1:03
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    63-73
  131. Q2 1:03
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
  132. Q2 1:03
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-74
  133. Q2 1:22
    Pistons turnover
  134. Q2 1:25
    Domantas Sabonis misses two point layup
  135. Q2 1:25
    Domantas Sabonis turnover (lost ball)
  136. Q2 1:43
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    61-71
  137. Q2 2:18
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    59-69
  138. Q2 2:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    56-69
  139. Q2 2:43
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  140. Q2 2:53
    Pistons defensive rebound
  141. Q2 3:10
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    56-67
  142. Q2 3:34
    Pistons personal foul
  143. Q2 3:34
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
  144. Q2 3:43
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 4:13
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  146. Q2 4:24
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  147. Q2 4:40
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    52-62
  148. Q2 5:06
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    50-59
  149. Q2 5:26
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  150. Q2 5:29
    Pistons offensive rebound
  151. Q2 5:29
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-57
  152. Q2 5:36
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  153. Q2 5:48
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    48-56
  154. Q2 6:01
    Kings offensive rebound
  155. Q2 6:01
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
  156. Q2 6:12
    Kings personal foul
  157. Q2 6:12
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
  158. Q2 6:12
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-54
  159. Q2 6:33
    Pistons turnover
  160. Q2 7:13
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-51
  161. Q2 7:13
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
  162. Q2 7:27
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    41-50
  163. Q2 7:27
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    42-50
  164. Q2 7:48
    Kings turnover
  165. Q2 8:10
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  166. Q2 8:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  167. Q2 8:10
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Nique Clifford, Dennis Schroder, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
  168. Q2 8:39
    Kings personal foul
  169. Q2 8:39
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-48
  170. Q2 8:45
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  171. Q2 9:04
    Kings turnover
  172. Q2 9:17
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  173. Q2 9:20
    Pistons personal foul
  174. Q2 9:28
    Kings 60 second timeout
  175. Q2 9:29
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
  176. Q2 9:35
    Javonte Green offensive rebound
  177. Q2 9:42
    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  178. Q2 10:07
    Kings personal foul
  179. Q2 10:07
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis, Keon Ellis)
  180. Q2 10:08
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  181. Q2 10:16
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  182. Q2 10:45
    Pistons turnover
  183. Q2 10:50
    Kings personal foul
  184. Q2 10:50
    Kings 60 second timeout
  185. Q2 11:02
    Pistons defensive rebound
  186. Q2 11:02
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dylan Cardwell, Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, Keon Ellis)
  187. Q2 11:20
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    35-39
  188. Q2 11:31
    Pistons defensive rebound
  189. Q2 11:46
    Kings personal foul
  190. Q2 11:46
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-37
  191. Q1 00:00
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    35-35
  192. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  193. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
  194. Q1 00:10
    Pistons personal foul
  195. Q1 00:10
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Dennis Schroder, Dylan Cardwell, Russell Westbrook, Keon Ellis)
  196. Q1 00:10
    DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  197. Q1 00:22
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  198. Q1 00:22
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-31
  199. Q1 00:22
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Ausar Thompson)
  200. Q1 00:23
    Pistons personal foul
  201. Q1 00:23
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
  202. Q1 00:34
    Tobias Harris offensive rebound
  203. Q1 00:58
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    33-27
  204. Q1 1:16
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    31-24
  205. Q1 1:36
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  206. Q1 1:36
    Pistons turnover
  207. Q1 1:40
    Pistons offensive rebound
  208. Q1 2:01
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    29-24
  209. Q1 2:10
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 2:19
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  211. Q1 2:29
    Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
  212. Q1 2:43
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Jaden Ivey)
  213. Q1 2:50
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  214. Q1 3:05
    Kings turnover
  215. Q1 3:26
    Kings defensive rebound
  216. Q1 3:27
    Jaden Ivey misses two point floating jump shot
  217. Q1 3:49
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    27-24
  218. Q1 3:59
    Kings lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dylan Cardwell, Malik Monk, Maxime Raynaud, Keon Ellis)
  219. Q1 4:04
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  220. Q1 4:15
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  221. Q1 4:20
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  222. Q1 4:30
    Kings turnover
  223. Q1 4:50
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  224. Q1 5:17
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    24-22
  225. Q1 5:30
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  226. Q1 5:37
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Malik Monk, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook)
  227. Q1 5:47
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    24-20
  228. Q1 5:55
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  229. Q1 6:19
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  230. Q1 6:31
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    21-18
  231. Q1 6:59
    Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
  232. Q1 6:59
    Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
  233. Q1 6:59
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  234. Q1 7:02
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  235. Q1 7:04
    Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
  236. Q1 7:07
    Pistons personal foul
  237. Q1 7:07
    Kings offensive rebound
  238. Q1 7:15
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  239. Q1 7:42
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    15-16
  240. Q1 8:16
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    13-13
  241. Q1 8:19
    Instant replay
  242. Q1 8:22
    Kings turnover
  243. Q1 8:37
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  244. Q1 9:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    10-10
  245. Q1 9:16
    Pistons personal foul
  246. Q1 9:29
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  247. Q1 9:30
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  248. Q1 9:38
    Kings turnover
  249. Q1 9:49
    Kings defensive rebound
  250. Q1 10:04
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    7-8
  251. Q1 10:21
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  252. Q1 10:36
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  253. Q1 10:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  254. Q1 10:55
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    3-5
  255. Q1 10:55
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    3-6
  256. Q1 11:07
    Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
  257. Q1 11:08
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  258. Q1 11:32
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    3-3
  259. Q1 11:32
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    4-3
  260. Q1 11:50
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  261. Q1 11:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  262. Q1 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
  263. Q1 12:00
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook, Domantas Sabonis)
Box Score
Kings
PosPlayerPts
Pistons
PosPlayerPts

Kings vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Kings vs. Pistons
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Kings +490, Pistons -600

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Kings: 18%
  • Pistons: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 107-118 Pistons.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 18%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kings vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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