Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Warriors NBA game on April 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Spurs
127
113
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Spurs
68 2 26 31 127
Warriors
47 2 34 30 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Warriors
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
68 2 26 31 127
Warriors
47 2 34 30 113
Q4 00:25 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Spurs turnover
  3. Q4 00:25
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:25
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    127-113
  5. Q4 00:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:33
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    127-111
  9. Q4 1:08
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 1:15
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:29
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  14. Q4 1:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:47
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    127-108
  16. Q4 1:59
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    127-105
  17. Q4 2:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    124-105
  18. Q4 2:24
    Spurs turnover
  19. Q4 2:39
    Warriors turnover
  20. Q4 2:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 2:54
    Spurs violation
  22. Q4 3:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    124-103
  23. Q4 3:16
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  24. Q4 3:17
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    122-103
  25. Q4 3:28
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    121-100
  26. Q4 3:28
    Warriors personal foul
  27. Q4 3:28
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    122-100
  28. Q4 3:28
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  29. Q4 3:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-99
  30. Q4 3:41
    Spurs personal foul
  31. Q4 3:41
    +1
    LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    118-100
  32. Q4 3:55
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  33. Q4 3:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    118-97
  34. Q4 4:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 4:20
    +2
    Omer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot
    116-97
  36. Q4 4:21
    Omer Yurtseven offensive rebound
  37. Q4 4:26
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 4:33
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  39. Q4 4:36
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 5:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    116-95
  41. Q4 5:04
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  42. Q4 5:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 5:12
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  44. Q4 5:14
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 5:32
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    116-93
  46. Q4 5:47
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  47. Q4 5:51
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 5:59
    Warriors turnover
  49. Q4 6:07
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    116-90
  50. Q4 6:12
    Warriors turnover
  51. Q4 6:17
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    113-90
  52. Q4 6:17
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  53. Q4 6:17
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  54. Q4 6:25
    Spurs personal foul
  55. Q4 6:25
    Malevy Leons turnover (offensive foul)
  56. Q4 6:25
    Warriors personal foul
  57. Q4 6:36
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 6:37
    Warriors offensive rebound
  59. Q4 6:37
    Carter Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
  60. Q4 6:58
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    110-90
  61. Q4 7:07
    Warriors personal foul
  62. Q4 7:07
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
  63. Q4 7:08
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  64. Q4 7:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 7:11
    Nate Williams offensive rebound
  66. Q4 7:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  67. Q4 7:24
    Devin Vassell personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
  68. Q4 7:27
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  69. Q4 7:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  70. Q4 7:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  71. Q4 7:41
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  72. Q4 7:41
    Spurs personal foul
  73. Q4 7:43
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  74. Q4 7:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    110-90
  75. Q4 8:07
    Warriors personal foul
  76. Q4 8:07
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  77. Q4 8:07
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
  78. Q4 8:19
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    105-90
  79. Q4 8:27
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  80. Q4 8:29
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 8:34
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  82. Q4 8:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  83. Q4 8:43
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  84. Q4 8:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 8:57
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    110-90
  86. Q4 9:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    103-87
  87. Q4 9:29
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  88. Q4 9:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  89. Q4 9:49
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    105-90
  90. Q4 10:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    105-90
  91. Q4 10:08
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  92. Q4 10:12
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 10:21
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  94. Q4 10:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 10:32
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  96. Q4 10:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 10:56
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    101-83
  98. Q4 10:56
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  99. Q4 10:59
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  100. Q4 11:01
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 11:13
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  102. Q4 11:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  103. Q4 11:22
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  104. Q4 11:24
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 11:44
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    99-83
  106. Q3 00:00
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  107. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  108. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
  109. Q3 00:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  110. Q3 00:21
    +2
    Nate Williams makes two point putback layup
    96-83
  111. Q3 00:21
    Nate Williams offensive rebound
  112. Q3 00:22
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Nate Williams's two point running layup
  113. Q3 00:28
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  114. Q3 00:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  115. Q3 00:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  116. Q3 1:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  117. Q3 1:16
    +2
    Omer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot (Malevy Leons assists)
    92-74
  118. Q3 1:36
    Warriors personal foul
  119. Q3 1:36
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-83
  120. Q3 1:36
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-83
  121. Q3 1:36
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  122. Q3 1:42
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    96-83
  123. Q3 1:53
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  124. Q3 1:55
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  125. Q3 2:11
    LJ Cryer turnover (offensive foul)
  126. Q3 2:11
    LJ Cryer offensive foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
  127. Q3 2:20
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point pullup jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    101-83
  128. Q3 2:31
    Warriors personal foul
  129. Q3 2:40
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    89-74
  130. Q3 2:50
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    92-74
  131. Q3 2:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  132. Q3 2:58
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
  133. Q3 2:58
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
  134. Q3 3:11
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  135. Q3 3:17
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  136. Q3 3:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 3:38
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  138. Q3 3:38
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  139. Q3 3:41
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  140. Q3 3:45
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 3:49
    Spurs turnover
  142. Q3 4:07
    Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  143. Q3 4:07
    Warriors offensive rebound
  144. Q3 4:07
    Spurs personal foul
  145. Q3 4:07
    +1
    Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-74
  146. Q3 4:11
    Spurs turnover
  147. Q3 4:15
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  148. Q3 4:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  149. Q3 4:36
    Spurs turnover
  150. Q3 4:43
    LJ Cryer turnover
  151. Q3 4:43
    Warriors personal foul
  152. Q3 4:43
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
    87-67
  153. Q3 4:43
    Instant replay
  154. Q3 4:43
    Devin Vassell misses clear path free throw 2 of 2
  155. Q3 4:44
    Spurs offensive rebound
  156. Q3 4:59
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point driving floating jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    86-67
  157. Q3 5:11
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    105-90
  158. Q3 5:11
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  159. Q3 5:21
    Dylan Harper turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  160. Q3 5:27
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
  161. Q3 5:27
    +1
    Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-90
  162. Q3 5:27
    +1
    Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-90
  163. Q3 5:35
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  164. Q3 5:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 5:54
    Warriors personal foul
  166. Q3 5:54
    Omer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)
  167. Q3 5:54
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
  168. Q3 5:54
    Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  169. Q3 6:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  170. Q3 6:15
    Warriors turnover
  171. Q3 6:34
    Spurs turnover
  172. Q3 6:47
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  173. Q3 7:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 7:03
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  175. Q3 7:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  176. Q3 7:03
    Warriors personal foul
  177. Q3 7:03
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    101-83
  178. Q3 7:16
    Warriors personal foul
  179. Q3 7:16
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  180. Q3 7:16
    Spurs offensive rebound
  181. Q3 7:16
    Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
  182. Q3 7:16
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  183. Q3 7:23
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  184. Q3 7:33
    Spurs personal foul
  185. Q3 7:33
    Omer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  186. Q3 7:33
    Warriors offensive rebound
  187. Q3 7:33
    Omer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  188. Q3 7:42
    Devin Vassell personal foul
  189. Q3 7:47
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  190. Q3 7:47
    Spurs personal foul
  191. Q3 8:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    101-83
  192. Q3 8:20
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    101-83
  193. Q3 8:40
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    101-83
  194. Q3 8:55
    +2
    LJ Cryer makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  195. Q3 9:12
    Spurs personal foul
  196. Q3 9:15
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  197. Q3 9:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  198. Q3 9:24
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  199. Q3 9:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 9:38
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  201. Q3 9:42
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  202. Q3 9:46
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  203. Q3 9:58
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  204. Q3 10:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  205. Q3 10:23
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    105-90
  206. Q3 10:30
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  207. Q3 10:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 10:40
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  209. Q3 10:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 10:58
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    105-90
  211. Q3 11:09
    Spurs personal foul
  212. Q3 11:19
    Spurs turnover
  213. Q3 11:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  214. Q3 11:40
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    70-52
  215. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  216. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Stands)
  217. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
  218. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Will Richard, LJ Cryer)
  219. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    70-55
  220. Q2 00:07
    Spurs turnover
  221. Q2 00:07
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer, Seth Curry)
  222. Q2 00:07
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  223. Q2 00:22
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  224. Q2 00:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  225. Q2 00:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-55
  226. Q2 00:56
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    68-47
  227. Q2 1:06
    Seth Curry defensive rebound
  228. Q2 1:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  229. Q2 1:19
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  230. Q2 1:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  231. Q2 1:36
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    68-44
  232. Q2 1:55
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    65-44
  233. Q2 2:10
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry)
  234. Q2 2:10
    Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
  235. Q2 2:10
    Warriors defensive rebound
  236. Q2 2:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  237. Q2 2:10
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  238. Q2 2:15
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  239. Q2 2:18
    Pat Spencer misses two point driving reverse layup
  240. Q2 2:32
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
    70-55
  241. Q2 2:40
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  242. Q2 2:42
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  243. Q2 3:04
    Spurs offensive rebound
  244. Q2 3:04
    Warriors personal foul
  245. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-74
  246. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-74
  247. Q2 3:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  248. Q2 3:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  249. Q2 3:20
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  250. Q2 3:22
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  251. Q2 3:42
    Warriors turnover
  252. Q2 3:43
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    68-47
  253. Q2 3:43
    Warriors personal foul
  254. Q2 3:43
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
  255. Q2 3:43
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  256. Q2 4:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    70-49
  257. Q2 4:01
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  258. Q2 4:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  259. Q2 4:11
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  260. Q2 4:11
    Spurs offensive rebound
  261. Q2 4:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  262. Q2 4:21
    Spurs personal foul
  263. Q2 4:21
    +1
    LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-55
  264. Q2 4:21
    +1
    LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-55
  265. Q2 4:21
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
  266. Q2 4:31
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    57-37
  267. Q2 4:34
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  268. Q2 4:36
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  269. Q2 4:50
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  270. Q2 4:50
    Warriors personal foul
  271. Q2 4:50
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-37
  272. Q2 4:50
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  273. Q2 4:50
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-37
  274. Q2 4:52
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 4:54
    Spurs offensive rebound
  276. Q2 4:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  277. Q2 4:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 4:56
    Spurs offensive rebound
  279. Q2 4:56
    Keldon Johnson misses two point tip layup
  280. Q2 4:59
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  281. Q2 4:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
  282. Q2 4:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  283. Q2 4:59
    Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
  284. Q2 4:59
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  285. Q2 5:05
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  286. Q2 5:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  287. Q2 5:15
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  288. Q2 5:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 5:35
    +2
    Seth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (LJ Cryer assists)
    53-37
  290. Q2 5:54
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    73-55
  291. Q2 6:11
    +2
    Seth Curry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    53-37
  292. Q2 6:27
    Seth Curry defensive rebound
  293. Q2 6:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 6:37
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  295. Q2 6:40
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 6:54
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    73-55
  297. Q2 6:54
    Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Will Richard, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer, Seth Curry)
  298. Q2 6:54
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  299. Q2 6:54
    Warriors personal foul
  300. Q2 6:54
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  301. Q2 6:59
    Warriors turnover
  302. Q2 7:19
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  303. Q2 7:30
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 7:30
    Warriors offensive rebound
  305. Q2 7:30
    Warriors turnover
  306. Q2 7:30
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
  307. Q2 7:54
    Warriors personal foul
  308. Q2 7:54
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-74
  309. Q2 7:54
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
  310. Q2 7:54
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
  311. Q2 7:54
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-74
  312. Q2 7:58
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  313. Q2 8:01
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  314. Q2 8:04
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  315. Q2 8:07
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 8:15
    Spurs personal foul
  317. Q2 8:20
    Spurs personal foul
  318. Q2 8:22
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  319. Q2 8:30
    Warriors personal foul
  320. Q2 8:30
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-74
  321. Q2 8:30
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  322. Q2 8:33
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  323. Q2 8:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  324. Q2 8:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    92-74
  325. Q2 8:55
    Warriors turnover
  326. Q2 8:55
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  327. Q2 9:08
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point tip layup
    40-33
  328. Q2 9:08
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  329. Q2 9:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  330. Q2 9:30
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
  331. Q2 9:30
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-47
  332. Q2 9:30
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-74
  333. Q2 9:30
    Spurs personal foul
  334. Q2 9:40
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    68-47
  335. Q2 9:48
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  336. Q2 9:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 9:57
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  338. Q2 10:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 10:02
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  340. Q2 10:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 10:17
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  342. Q2 10:20
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  343. Q2 10:34
    Spurs turnover
  344. Q2 10:34
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  345. Q2 10:51
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    89-74
  346. Q2 10:59
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  347. Q2 11:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  348. Q2 11:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    87-67
  349. Q2 11:21
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  350. Q2 11:24
    Warriors personal foul
  351. Q2 11:24
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-67
  352. Q2 11:24
    Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  353. Q2 11:37
    Warriors turnover
  354. Q1 00:00
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  355. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  356. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  357. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
  358. Q1 00:01
    Spurs offensive rebound
  359. Q1 00:14
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  360. Q1 00:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 00:38
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    73-55
  362. Q1 00:52
    Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
  363. Q1 00:54
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  364. Q1 00:54
    Omer Yurtseven personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  365. Q1 00:54
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-24
  366. Q1 00:54
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
  367. Q1 00:54
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  368. Q1 00:55
    Pat Spencer misses three point jump shot
  369. Q1 1:15
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point running dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    34-24
  370. Q1 1:18
    Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball) (De'Aaron Fox steals)
  371. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point finger roll layup (Harrison Barnes assists)
    32-24
  372. Q1 1:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  373. Q1 1:49
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
  374. Q1 1:50
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  375. Q1 1:52
    Pat Spencer misses three point running pullup jump shot
  376. Q1 1:57
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Pat Spencer steals)
  377. Q1 2:10
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  378. Q1 2:13
    +2
    Malevy Leons makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    30-24
  379. Q1 2:13
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant)
  380. Q1 2:13
    Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  381. Q1 2:20
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  382. Q1 2:23
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  383. Q1 2:34
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    30-21
  384. Q1 2:34
    Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  385. Q1 2:34
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
  386. Q1 2:46
    Mason Plumlee turnover (offensive goaltending)
  387. Q1 2:46
    Spurs violation
  388. Q1 2:59
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point pullup jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    30-20
  389. Q1 3:13
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-18
  390. Q1 3:13
    Malevy Leons shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
  391. Q1 3:13
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-18
  392. Q1 3:30
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-17
  393. Q1 3:30
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-18
  394. Q1 3:30
    Dylan Harper shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  395. Q1 3:38
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  396. Q1 3:40
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  397. Q1 3:52
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Malevy Leons assists)
    28-16
  398. Q1 3:52
    Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
  399. Q1 3:52
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  400. Q1 3:59
    Nate Williams defensive rebound
  401. Q1 4:02
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  402. Q1 4:14
    +2
    Nate Williams makes two point running pullup jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    28-13
  403. Q1 4:21
    Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Nate Williams steals)
  404. Q1 4:35
    Nate Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  405. Q1 4:43
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    28-11
  406. Q1 4:53
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Mason Plumlee, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
  407. Q1 4:53
    Spurs offensive rebound
  408. Q1 4:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  409. Q1 4:55
    Draymond Green shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  410. Q1 4:55
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
  411. Q1 4:55
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  412. Q1 4:55
    Spurs offensive rebound
  413. Q1 4:55
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  414. Q1 4:55
    Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  415. Q1 4:57
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  416. Q1 4:59
    Seth Curry misses three point jump shot
  417. Q1 5:10
    Nate Williams defensive rebound
  418. Q1 5:16
    Draymond Green blocks Keldon Johnson's three point jump shot
  419. Q1 5:28
    +2
    Pat Spencer makes two point driving floating jump shot
    25-11
  420. Q1 5:48
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point running alley-oop layup (Dylan Harper assists)
    25-9
  421. Q1 5:51
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  422. Q1 5:54
    Omer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 5:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  424. Q1 5:57
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  425. Q1 5:57
    Warriors offensive rebound
  426. Q1 5:58
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Nate Williams's two point driving layup
  427. Q1 6:10
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-9
  428. Q1 6:10
    Nate Williams personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  429. Q1 6:10
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-9
  430. Q1 6:27
    +2
    Nate Williams makes two point driving layup
    21-9
  431. Q1 6:45
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point running layup (Devin Vassell assists)
    21-7
  432. Q1 6:54
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  433. Q1 6:55
    Pat Spencer misses two point pullup bank jump shot
  434. Q1 7:05
    Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  435. Q1 7:16
    +1
    Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-7
  436. Q1 7:16
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  437. Q1 7:16
    De'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
  438. Q1 7:16
    +1
    Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-6
  439. Q1 7:27
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup
    19-5
  440. Q1 7:34
    Omer Yurtseven personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  441. Q1 7:47
    +2
    Seth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)
    17-5
  442. Q1 8:04
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    17-3
  443. Q1 8:04
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
  444. Q1 8:04
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  445. Q1 8:08
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  446. Q1 8:12
    LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
  447. Q1 8:24
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop layup (Stephon Castle assists)
    14-3
  448. Q1 8:35
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  449. Q1 8:37
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point finger roll layup
  450. Q1 8:44
    Victor Wembanyama kicked ball violation
  451. Q1 8:44
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
  452. Q1 8:51
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
    12-3
  453. Q1 9:07
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    10-3
  454. Q1 9:20
    Julian Champagnie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  455. Q1 9:22
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  456. Q1 9:24
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot
  457. Q1 9:36
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point turnaround jump shot
    10-0
  458. Q1 9:55
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    8-0
  459. Q1 9:55
    Draymond Green personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  460. Q1 9:56
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  461. Q1 9:57
    Draymond Green misses two point driving hook shot
  462. Q1 10:09
    Will Richard shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  463. Q1 10:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-0
  464. Q1 10:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-0
  465. Q1 10:09
    Warriors personal foul
  466. Q1 10:09
    Spurs personal foul
  467. Q1 10:16
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  468. Q1 10:17
    Nate Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
  469. Q1 10:27
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  470. Q1 10:29
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  471. Q1 10:37
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 10:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  473. Q1 10:37
    Spurs defensive rebound
  474. Q1 10:50
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point running finger roll layup
    5-0
  475. Q1 10:55
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  476. Q1 11:00
    LJ Cryer misses three point stepback jump shot
  477. Q1 11:08
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  478. Q1 11:11
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  479. Q1 11:14
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving floating jump shot
  480. Q1 11:20
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  481. Q1 11:23
    LJ Cryer misses three point pullup jump shot
  482. Q1 11:42
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    3-0
  483. Q1 11:42
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
    2-0
  484. Q1 11:42
    Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  485. Q1 12:00
    Victor Wembanyama vs. Draymond Green (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
  486. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Will Richard, LJ Cryer)
  487. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  488. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Warriors
  • Date: Wednesday, April 1, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -14.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs 88¢, Warriors 12¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 86%
  • Warriors: 14%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 120-108 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 86%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.