Pacers vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Kings NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pacers
109
114
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Pacers
25 34 46 0 109
Kings
24 18 67 0 114
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    2%
  • Kings
    98%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
25 34 46 0 109
Kings
24 18 67 0 114
Q4 00:04 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:09 Ben Sheppard makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:10 Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:15 Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Jay Huff makes two point driving dunk (Ben Sheppard assists)
Q4 1:16 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:04
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:06
    Ben Sheppard personal foul (Take) (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
  5. Q4 00:06
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  6. Q4 00:06
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:06
    +1
    Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  8. Q4 00:06
    +1
    Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  9. Q4 00:08
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)
  10. Q4 00:08
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:08
    Kings 60 second timeout
  12. Q4 00:09
    +2
    Ben Sheppard makes two point tip layup
    105-109
  13. Q4 00:10
    Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 00:11
    Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
  15. Q4 00:15
    Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 00:16
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  17. Q4 00:16
    Pacers personal foul
  18. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-109
  19. Q4 00:16
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  20. Q4 00:36
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  21. Q4 00:38
    Pacers offensive rebound
  22. Q4 00:42
    Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 00:54
    Maxime Raynaud turnover
  24. Q4 1:08
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point driving dunk (Ben Sheppard assists)
    105-109
  25. Q4 1:14
    Kam Jones defensive rebound
  26. Q4 1:16
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 1:34
    Killian Hayes defensive rebound
  28. Q4 1:36
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 1:46
    Ben Sheppard personal foul (Devin Carter draws the foul)
  30. Q4 1:46
    +1
    Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  31. Q4 1:46
    +1
    Devin Carter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  32. Q4 1:53
    Jay Huff turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  33. Q4 1:53
    Jay Huff personal foul (Loose ball) (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
  34. Q4 1:53
    Jay Huff turnover (lost ball)
  35. Q4 1:53
    Kings 60 second timeout
  36. Q4 1:53
    Jay Huff turnover
  37. Q4 1:53
    Jay Huff turnover (lost ball)
  38. Q4 2:07
    +3
    Devin Carter makes three point pullup jump shot
    105-109
  39. Q4 2:20
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  40. Q4 2:22
    Aaron Nesmith misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 2:46
    Devin Carter turnover
  42. Q4 2:56
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  43. Q4 3:09
    +3
    Devin Carter makes three point jump shot
    101-104
  44. Q4 3:23
    Kings 60 second timeout
  45. Q4 3:27
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  46. Q4 3:31
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 3:47
    +2
    Devin Carter makes two point driving layup
    101-101
  48. Q4 4:01
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  49. Q4 4:13
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  50. Q4 4:13
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  51. Q4 4:16
    +3
    Devin Carter makes three point stepback jump shot
    105-109
  52. Q4 4:29
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:33
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 4:54
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  55. Q4 5:04
    Jarace Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot
  56. Q4 5:04
    Kings defensive rebound
  57. Q4 5:12
    Kam Jones offensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:15
    Ben Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
  59. Q4 5:29
    Kings 60 second timeout
  60. Q4 5:29
    Devin Carter personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)
  61. Q4 5:29
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  62. Q4 5:42
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  63. Q4 5:59
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  64. Q4 6:27
    +2
    Daeqwon Plowden makes two point jump shot
    95-92
  65. Q4 6:37
    Jarace Walker turnover (lost ball) (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
  66. Q4 6:40
    Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
  67. Q4 6:44
    Devin Carter misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 6:58
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point driving hook shot (Kam Jones assists)
    105-109
  69. Q4 7:06
    Kings personal foul
  70. Q4 7:14
    Kings personal foul
  71. Q4 7:14
    Nique Clifford turnover (offensive foul)
  72. Q4 7:14
    Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  73. Q4 7:17
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  74. Q4 7:22
    Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 7:37
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  76. Q4 7:48
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:51
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  78. Q4 8:06
    Kam Jones defensive rebound
  79. Q4 8:11
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  80. Q4 8:25
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  81. Q4 8:39
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  82. Q4 8:43
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  83. Q4 8:46
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 8:49
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  85. Q4 8:51
    Devin Carter misses two point driving floating jump shot
  86. Q4 9:00
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    90-86
  87. Q4 9:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  88. Q4 9:00
    Aaron Nesmith personal foul
  89. Q4 9:00
    Instant replay
  90. Q4 9:00
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    105-109
  91. Q4 9:00
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    105-109
  92. Q4 9:12
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  93. Q4 9:30
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    101-101
  94. Q4 9:45
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  95. Q4 10:06
    +2
    Killian Hayes makes two point layup
    84-77
  96. Q4 10:09
    Kam Jones turnover (lost ball) (Killian Hayes steals)
  97. Q4 10:17
    Drew Eubanks turnover (out of bounds step)
  98. Q4 10:28
    Killian Hayes defensive rebound
  99. Q4 10:32
    Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 10:51
    +2
    Drew Eubanks makes two point floating jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
    105-109
  101. Q4 11:03
    Nique Clifford shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)
  102. Q4 11:03
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    101-101
  103. Q4 11:03
    +1
    Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-109
  104. Q4 11:26
    +2
    Devin Carter makes two point tip layup
    90-86
  105. Q4 11:26
    Devin Carter offensive rebound
  106. Q4 11:26
    Pacers personal foul
  107. Q4 11:26
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  108. Q4 11:26
    Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  109. Q4 11:26
    +1
    Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-109
  110. Q4 11:28
    Daeqwon Plowden misses two point tip layup
  111. Q4 11:28
    Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
  112. Q4 11:29
    Nique Clifford misses two point cutting layup
  113. Q4 11:31
    Kobe Brown turnover (bad pass) (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
  114. Q4 11:40
    +2
    Nique Clifford makes two point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
    105-109
  115. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay
  116. Q3 00:00
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  117. Q3 00:00
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  118. Q3 00:00
    Pacers personal foul
  119. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  120. Q3 00:00
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  121. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  122. Q3 00:00
    Pacers offensive rebound
  123. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  124. Q3 00:10
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:14
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 00:18
    Devin Carter turnover (bad pass) (Kobe Brown steals)
  127. Q3 00:31
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  128. Q3 00:34
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  129. Q3 00:56
    Killian Hayes turnover (Taelon Peter steals)
  130. Q3 1:10
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  131. Q3 1:13
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 1:19
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  133. Q3 1:22
    Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
  134. Q3 1:33
    Kobe Brown offensive rebound
  135. Q3 1:33
    +1
    Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-101
  136. Q3 1:33
    +1
    Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-101
  137. Q3 1:33
    Kings personal foul
  138. Q3 1:35
    Taelon Peter misses three point jump shot
  139. Q3 1:38
    Kobe Brown defensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:40
    Micah Potter blocks Daeqwon Plowden's two point running dunk
  141. Q3 1:43
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  142. Q3 1:45
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 1:57
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    82-70
  144. Q3 2:01
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  145. Q3 2:02
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  146. Q3 2:04
    Drew Eubanks blocks Quenton Jackson's two point layup
  147. Q3 2:04
    Micah Potter misses two point layup
  148. Q3 2:16
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  149. Q3 2:16
    Kings personal foul
  150. Q3 2:17
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  151. Q3 2:17
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  152. Q3 2:23
    Pacers turnover
  153. Q3 2:40
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  154. Q3 2:45
    Pacers turnover
  155. Q3 3:01
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  156. Q3 3:04
    Pacers personal foul
  157. Q3 3:04
    Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  158. Q3 3:04
    Kings offensive rebound
  159. Q3 3:04
    Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  160. Q3 3:06
    Pacers turnover
  161. Q3 3:18
    Pacers personal foul
  162. Q3 3:18
    +1
    Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  163. Q3 3:18
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Taelon Peter, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  164. Q3 3:18
    Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Daeqwon Plowden)
  165. Q3 3:18
    +1
    Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  166. Q3 3:28
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  167. Q3 3:31
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  168. Q3 3:52
    Pacers personal foul
  169. Q3 3:52
    Killian Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  170. Q3 3:52
    Kings offensive rebound
  171. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  172. Q3 4:00
    Kings personal foul
  173. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  174. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  175. Q3 4:15
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    101-101
  176. Q3 4:15
    Pacers personal foul
  177. Q3 4:15
    Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  178. Q3 4:15
    +1
    Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-109
  179. Q3 4:15
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Micah Potter)
  180. Q3 4:15
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  181. Q3 4:15
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Taelon Peter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Micah Potter)
  182. Q3 4:17
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  183. Q3 4:22
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 4:39
    Pacers personal foul
  185. Q3 4:39
    Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  186. Q3 4:39
    Kings offensive rebound
  187. Q3 4:39
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  188. Q3 4:39
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  189. Q3 4:39
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  190. Q3 4:39
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  191. Q3 4:58
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  192. Q3 5:03
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  193. Q3 5:09
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  194. Q3 5:17
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  195. Q3 5:20
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  196. Q3 5:36
    Pacers personal foul
  197. Q3 5:36
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-109
  198. Q3 5:36
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  199. Q3 5:39
    Pacers turnover
  200. Q3 5:51
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  201. Q3 5:55
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 6:09
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    71-51
  203. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  204. Q3 6:36
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  205. Q3 6:56
    +3
    Russell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
    105-109
  206. Q3 7:06
    Jarace Walker personal foul
  207. Q3 7:06
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  208. Q3 7:06
    Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  209. Q3 7:06
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  210. Q3 7:09
    Ben Sheppard personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
  211. Q3 7:11
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  212. Q3 7:15
    Obi Toppin misses three point jump shot
  213. Q3 7:31
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  214. Q3 7:33
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  215. Q3 7:49
    +2
    Obi Toppin makes two point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
    82-70
  216. Q3 8:04
    Pacers personal foul
  217. Q3 8:04
    Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  218. Q3 8:04
    Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  219. Q3 8:04
    Kings offensive rebound
  220. Q3 8:04
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-109
  221. Q3 8:26
    +3
    Obi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
    82-70
  222. Q3 8:44
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  223. Q3 8:44
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  224. Q3 8:55
    Pacers personal foul
  225. Q3 8:55
    Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  226. Q3 8:55
    Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  227. Q3 9:06
    +3
    Kam Jones makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
    82-70
  228. Q3 9:20
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  229. Q3 9:28
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  230. Q3 9:31
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  231. Q3 9:46
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  232. Q3 9:46
    +3
    Jay Huff makes three point jump shot
    105-109
  233. Q3 9:51
    DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
  234. Q3 9:54
    DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
  235. Q3 9:55
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 10:01
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  237. Q3 10:02
    Kings personal foul
  238. Q3 10:02
    Instant replay
  239. Q3 10:02
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  240. Q3 10:02
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    105-109
  241. Q3 10:02
    Pacers offensive rebound
  242. Q3 10:02
    +1
    Obi Toppin makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    105-109
  243. Q3 10:05
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  244. Q3 10:15
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  245. Q3 10:17
    DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
  246. Q3 10:26
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  247. Q3 10:28
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  248. Q3 10:40
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-109
  249. Q3 10:41
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  250. Q3 10:43
    Maxime Raynaud misses two point jump shot
  251. Q3 10:52
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  252. Q3 10:54
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  253. Q3 11:05
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  254. Q3 11:07
    Precious Achiuwa misses two point jump shot
  255. Q3 11:17
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  256. Q3 11:22
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  257. Q3 11:31
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  258. Q3 11:33
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  259. Q3 11:48
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    61-42
  260. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  261. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
  262. Q3 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Maxime Raynaud)
  263. Q1 8:45
    Pacers violation
  264. Q1 9:39
    Kings offensive rebound
  265. Q1 9:39
    Kings misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Kings
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -3
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +136, Kings -149

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 42%
  • Kings: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 116-119 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 42%, while the Kings have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kings are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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