Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Thunder NBA game on March 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Warriors
97
104
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 26 29 14 97
Thunder
34 33 19 18 104
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    <1%
  • Thunder
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 26 29 14 97
Thunder
34 33 19 18 104
Q4 00:13 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:27
    Warriors personal foul
  5. Q4 00:27
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    97-103
  6. Q4 00:27
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-104
  7. Q4 00:35
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:38
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:42
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    97-102
  10. Q4 00:42
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 00:42
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
  12. Q4 00:42
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  13. Q4 00:42
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
  14. Q4 00:42
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  15. Q4 1:02
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:05
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:13
    Warriors turnover
  18. Q4 1:13
    Thunder turnover
  19. Q4 1:14
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:36
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 1:44
    Warriors personal foul
  24. Q4 2:00
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    97-99
  26. Q4 2:02
    Thunder personal foul
  27. Q4 2:02
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  28. Q4 2:02
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  29. Q4 2:05
    Thunder turnover
  30. Q4 2:07
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:09
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 2:26
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:29
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 2:41
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  35. Q4 2:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 2:51
    Warriors turnover
  37. Q4 3:01
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  38. Q4 3:07
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 3:22
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  40. Q4 3:26
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 3:45
    Jump ball. (Kristaps Porzingis gains possession)
  42. Q4 3:45
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)
  43. Q4 3:47
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  44. Q4 4:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    95-99
  45. Q4 4:22
    Thunder personal foul
  46. Q4 4:22
    Cason Wallace turnover (offensive foul)
  47. Q4 4:22
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  48. Q4 4:36
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 4:55
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  51. Q4 4:58
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 5:24
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
    93-99
  53. Q4 5:42
    Warriors personal foul
  54. Q4 5:42
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    90-97
  55. Q4 5:42
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    90-98
  56. Q4 5:42
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  57. Q4 5:42
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  58. Q4 5:42
    Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  59. Q4 5:42
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    90-99
  60. Q4 5:54
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  61. Q4 5:56
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 6:07
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  63. Q4 6:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 6:19
    Warriors turnover
  65. Q4 6:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    90-96
  66. Q4 6:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    90-94
  67. Q4 7:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    88-94
  68. Q4 7:18
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  69. Q4 7:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 7:39
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  71. Q4 7:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 7:57
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  73. Q4 8:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  75. Q4 8:04
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  76. Q4 8:04
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  77. Q4 8:21
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    88-92
  78. Q4 8:33
    Thunder turnover
  79. Q4 8:42
    Al Horford personal foul (Loose ball)
  80. Q4 8:42
    Thunder defensive rebound
  81. Q4 8:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  82. Q4 8:52
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  83. Q4 8:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 9:08
    Warriors personal foul
  85. Q4 9:08
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
  86. Q4 9:21
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  87. Q4 9:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 9:32
    Thunder personal foul
  89. Q4 9:40
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  90. Q4 9:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  91. Q4 9:53
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  92. Q4 9:56
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 10:10
    Warriors defensive rebound
  94. Q4 10:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  95. Q4 10:11
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  96. Q4 10:28
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    86-92
  97. Q4 10:51
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-92
  98. Q4 10:56
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  99. Q4 11:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 11:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-89
  101. Q4 11:20
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  102. Q4 11:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  103. Q4 11:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  104. Q4 11:38
    Thunder defensive rebound
  105. Q4 11:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  106. Q4 11:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  107. Q4 11:40
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  108. Q4 11:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    83-86
  110. Q3 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  111. Q3 00:00
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  112. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  113. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  114. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  115. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  116. Q3 00:02
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  117. Q3 00:19
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  118. Q3 00:23
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 00:33
    Warriors personal foul
  120. Q3 00:33
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)
  121. Q3 00:33
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  122. Q3 00:39
    Warriors personal foul
  123. Q3 00:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-85
  124. Q3 00:39
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  125. Q3 00:39
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  126. Q3 00:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-86
  127. Q3 00:57
    Thunder personal foul
  128. Q3 00:57
    +1
    Nate Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-84
  129. Q3 00:57
    +1
    Nate Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-84
  130. Q3 00:57
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
  131. Q3 1:15
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    79-84
  132. Q3 1:28
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  133. Q3 1:30
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  134. Q3 1:48
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  135. Q3 1:51
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  136. Q3 2:06
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  137. Q3 2:08
    Warriors offensive rebound
  138. Q3 2:08
    Thunder personal foul
  139. Q3 2:08
    Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  140. Q3 2:08
    Warriors offensive rebound
  141. Q3 2:08
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
  142. Q3 2:08
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
  143. Q3 2:08
    Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  144. Q3 2:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  145. Q3 2:23
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  146. Q3 2:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  147. Q3 2:30
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 2:31
    Thunder offensive rebound
  149. Q3 2:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  150. Q3 2:38
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    79-81
  151. Q3 2:38
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:45
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  153. Q3 2:46
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:48
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  155. Q3 2:48
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:51
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  157. Q3 3:14
    Warriors personal foul
  158. Q3 3:14
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-80
  159. Q3 3:14
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  160. Q3 3:14
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Nate Williams)
  161. Q3 3:14
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
  162. Q3 3:14
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-81
  163. Q3 3:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 3:28
    Warriors offensive rebound
  165. Q3 3:28
    Warriors turnover
  166. Q3 3:28
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Nate Williams)
  167. Q3 3:52
    Warriors personal foul
  168. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-78
  169. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-79
  170. Q3 3:54
    Thunder offensive rebound
  171. Q3 3:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q3 3:54
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Nate Williams)
  173. Q3 3:56
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 4:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    77-77
  175. Q3 4:30
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  176. Q3 4:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    74-77
  177. Q3 4:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  178. Q3 4:40
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  179. Q3 4:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  180. Q3 4:48
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  181. Q3 4:50
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  182. Q3 5:02
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  183. Q3 5:06
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  184. Q3 5:19
    Thunder personal foul
  185. Q3 5:19
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-75
  186. Q3 5:19
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-75
  187. Q3 5:20
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  188. Q3 5:21
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  189. Q3 5:21
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  190. Q3 5:23
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 5:32
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  192. Q3 5:32
    Thunder personal foul
  193. Q3 5:32
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  194. Q3 5:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 5:48
    Thunder personal foul
  196. Q3 5:48
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-75
  197. Q3 5:48
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  198. Q3 5:48
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  199. Q3 5:48
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    72-75
  200. Q3 6:07
    Thunder turnover
  201. Q3 6:07
    Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  202. Q3 6:11
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  203. Q3 6:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 6:29
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    70-75
  205. Q3 6:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    67-75
  206. Q3 7:05
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  207. Q3 7:05
    Warriors turnover
  208. Q3 7:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 7:29
    Thunder personal foul
  210. Q3 7:29
    Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
  211. Q3 7:29
    Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  212. Q3 7:29
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  213. Q3 7:44
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    67-73
  214. Q3 8:00
    Thunder turnover
  215. Q3 8:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  216. Q3 8:12
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  217. Q3 8:25
    Thunder turnover
  218. Q3 8:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 8:33
    Thunder offensive rebound
  220. Q3 8:33
    Warriors personal foul
  221. Q3 8:56
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    65-73
  222. Q3 8:56
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  223. Q3 8:56
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
  224. Q3 9:14
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  225. Q3 9:16
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 9:31
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    63-73
  227. Q3 9:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    60-73
  228. Q3 10:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    60-71
  229. Q3 10:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-71
  230. Q3 10:23
    Warriors turnover
  231. Q3 10:38
    Thunder turnover
  232. Q3 10:52
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    58-69
  233. Q3 11:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    56-69
  234. Q3 11:32
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    56-67
  235. Q3 11:39
    Warriors offensive rebound
  236. Q3 11:39
    Thunder personal foul
  237. Q3 11:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  238. Q3 11:43
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  239. Q3 11:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  240. Q2 00:00
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  241. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  242. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  243. Q2 00:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  244. Q2 00:24
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  245. Q2 00:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  246. Q2 00:32
    Thunder turnover
  247. Q2 00:51
    Warriors turnover
  248. Q2 1:05
    Jump ball. (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
  249. Q2 1:05
    Jaylin Williams turnover (lost ball)
  250. Q2 1:05
    Luguentz Dort turnover (bad pass)
  251. Q2 1:12
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  252. Q2 1:15
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  253. Q2 1:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    54-67
  254. Q2 1:44
    Thunder personal foul
  255. Q2 1:44
    Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  256. Q2 1:44
    Warriors offensive rebound
  257. Q2 1:44
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-65
  258. Q2 1:44
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  259. Q2 1:48
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  260. Q2 1:52
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  261. Q2 2:06
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  262. Q2 2:06
    Warriors offensive rebound
  263. Q2 2:06
    Thunder violation
  264. Q2 2:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    51-65
  265. Q2 2:32
    Thunder personal foul
  266. Q2 2:32
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  267. Q2 2:32
    Warriors offensive rebound
  268. Q2 2:32
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
  269. Q2 2:32
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  270. Q2 2:32
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-63
  271. Q2 2:45
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    50-63
  272. Q2 3:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    50-60
  273. Q2 3:24
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    48-60
  274. Q2 3:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    48-57
  275. Q2 4:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    45-57
  276. Q2 4:00
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  277. Q2 4:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  278. Q2 4:06
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  279. Q2 4:10
    Aaron Wiggins blocks Warriors's two point jump shot
  280. Q2 4:19
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  281. Q2 4:21
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  282. Q2 4:30
    Warriors turnover
  283. Q2 4:38
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
  284. Q2 4:38
    Thunder personal foul
  285. Q2 4:38
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  286. Q2 4:47
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  287. Q2 4:50
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 5:13
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    45-54
  289. Q2 5:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    42-53
  290. Q2 5:31
    Warriors personal foul
  291. Q2 5:31
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer)
  292. Q2 5:31
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  293. Q2 5:31
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    42-54
  294. Q2 5:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    42-51
  295. Q2 6:00
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  296. Q2 6:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 6:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-51
  298. Q2 6:35
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  299. Q2 6:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  300. Q2 6:50
    Thunder personal foul
  301. Q2 7:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    40-49
  302. Q2 7:23
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    40-46
  303. Q2 7:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    37-46
  304. Q2 7:51
    Warriors violation
  305. Q2 7:57
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  306. Q2 8:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  307. Q2 8:06
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  308. Q2 8:06
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  309. Q2 8:14
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-44
  310. Q2 8:23
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  311. Q2 8:30
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 8:30
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  313. Q2 8:30
    Kristaps Porzingis misses two point tip layup
  314. Q2 8:39
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  315. Q2 8:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 8:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  317. Q2 9:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    35-41
  318. Q2 9:21
    Thunder personal foul
  319. Q2 9:21
    Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  320. Q2 9:21
    Warriors offensive rebound
  321. Q2 9:21
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-39
  322. Q2 9:38
    Warriors personal foul
  323. Q2 9:38
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    34-37
  324. Q2 9:38
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    34-38
  325. Q2 9:38
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    34-39
  326. Q2 9:55
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  327. Q2 9:58
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-36
  328. Q2 9:58
    Thunder personal foul
  329. Q2 9:58
    Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  330. Q2 9:58
    Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer, Nate Williams)
  331. Q2 10:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  332. Q2 10:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    33-34
  333. Q2 10:33
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  334. Q2 10:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  335. Q2 10:53
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
    31-34
  336. Q2 11:13
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 11:14
    Warriors defensive rebound
  338. Q2 11:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  339. Q2 11:16
    Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
  340. Q2 11:20
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 11:37
    Warriors turnover
  342. Q2 11:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  343. Q2 11:48
    Thunder offensive rebound
  344. Q2 11:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  345. Q2 11:48
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  346. Q2 11:48
    Instant replay
  347. Q1 00:00
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  348. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  349. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  350. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
  351. Q1 00:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  352. Q1 00:09
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  353. Q1 00:12
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  354. Q1 00:24
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  355. Q1 00:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  356. Q1 00:38
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  357. Q1 00:42
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  358. Q1 00:43
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  359. Q1 00:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  360. Q1 1:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-34
  361. Q1 1:15
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    27-32
  362. Q1 1:15
    Thunder personal foul
  363. Q1 1:15
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-32
  364. Q1 1:32
    Warriors personal foul
  365. Q1 1:32
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    25-31
  366. Q1 1:32
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
  367. Q1 1:32
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-32
  368. Q1 1:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    25-30
  369. Q1 2:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    23-30
  370. Q1 2:02
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  371. Q1 2:06
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  372. Q1 2:22
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    23-27
  373. Q1 2:32
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    23-24
  374. Q1 2:39
    Thunder personal foul
  375. Q1 2:39
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
  376. Q1 2:39
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Gui Santos, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
  377. Q1 2:44
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  378. Q1 2:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  379. Q1 3:02
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  380. Q1 3:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    20-24
  381. Q1 3:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  382. Q1 3:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  383. Q1 3:29
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
  384. Q1 3:29
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  385. Q1 3:29
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  386. Q1 3:29
    Instant replay
  387. Q1 3:29
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  388. Q1 3:29
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  389. Q1 3:29
    Warriors personal foul
  390. Q1 3:29
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams)
  391. Q1 3:29
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  392. Q1 3:29
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover
  393. Q1 3:29
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    18-23
  394. Q1 3:29
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-24
  395. Q1 3:29
    Gary Payton II turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  396. Q1 3:35
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  397. Q1 3:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 3:50
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    18-22
  399. Q1 4:01
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  400. Q1 4:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  401. Q1 4:18
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    15-22
  402. Q1 4:22
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  403. Q1 4:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  404. Q1 4:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    13-22
  405. Q1 4:56
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  406. Q1 5:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  407. Q1 5:04
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  408. Q1 5:06
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 5:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  410. Q1 5:16
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  411. Q1 5:16
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  412. Q1 5:28
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  413. Q1 5:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  414. Q1 5:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    13-20
  415. Q1 5:53
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  416. Q1 5:57
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  417. Q1 6:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    11-19
  418. Q1 6:10
    Warriors personal foul
  419. Q1 6:10
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    11-20
  420. Q1 6:22
    Warriors personal foul
  421. Q1 6:22
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  422. Q1 6:22
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  423. Q1 6:24
    Warriors turnover
  424. Q1 6:32
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  425. Q1 6:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 6:44
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  427. Q1 6:48
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 7:03
    Warriors personal foul
  429. Q1 7:03
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  430. Q1 7:03
    Thunder offensive rebound
  431. Q1 7:03
    Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
  432. Q1 7:03
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-17
  433. Q1 7:08
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  434. Q1 7:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  435. Q1 7:31
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
    11-16
  436. Q1 7:45
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    11-13
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Thunder
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +475, Thunder -560

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 19%
  • Thunder: 81%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 105-115 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 19%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 81%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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