Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Warriors
133
112
FedExForum
Grizzlies
FedExForum
TEAM1234T
Warriors
34 40 27 32 133
Grizzlies
31 22 27 32 112
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    >99%
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
34 40 27 32 133
Grizzlies
31 22 27 32 112
Q4 00:25 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Javon Small makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Will Richard makes two point running dunk (Will Richard assists)
Q4 2:22 Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
Q4 2:52 Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:53 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Warriors turnover
  3. Q4 00:25
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    133-112
  4. Q4 00:29
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:32
    Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:52
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:58
    Javon Small offensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 1:16
    +2
    Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
    133-112
  11. Q4 1:35
    Warriors personal foul
  12. Q4 1:35
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-112
  13. Q4 1:35
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-112
  14. Q4 1:46
    Warriors turnover
  15. Q4 1:46
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  16. Q4 1:55
    +3
    Javon Small makes three point jump shot
    133-112
  17. Q4 2:01
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point running dunk (Will Richard assists)
    133-112
  18. Q4 2:05
    Jaylen Wells turnover
  19. Q4 2:22
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    133-112
  20. Q4 2:27
    Walter Clayton Jr. turnover (Pat Spencer steals)
  21. Q4 2:33
    Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
  22. Q4 2:36
    Rayan Rupert personal foul (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
  23. Q4 2:36
    Warriors offensive rebound
  24. Q4 2:36
    Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  25. Q4 2:36
    Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  26. Q4 2:50
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  27. Q4 2:52
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  28. Q4 2:53
    Malevy Leons shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
  29. Q4 2:53
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  30. Q4 2:53
    Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:53
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    133-112
  32. Q4 2:53
    Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:53
    Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  34. Q4 2:56
    Jaylen Wells misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 3:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    133-112
  36. Q4 3:16
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:19
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:31
    Grizzlies turnover
  39. Q4 3:37
    Warriors personal foul
  40. Q4 3:44
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  41. Q4 3:44
    Warriors personal foul
  42. Q4 3:46
    Grizzlies personal foul
  43. Q4 4:00
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    125-103
  44. Q4 4:08
    Gary Payton II personal foul
  45. Q4 4:08
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  46. Q4 4:18
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    125-99
  47. Q4 4:18
    Will Richard shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
  48. Q4 4:18
    +1
    Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    125-100
  49. Q4 4:23
    Pat Spencer personal foul
  50. Q4 4:23
    Pat Spencer turnover (offensive foul)
  51. Q4 4:26
    +3
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
    125-97
  52. Q4 4:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  53. Q4 4:31
    Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 4:44
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  56. Q4 4:44
    Grizzlies personal foul
  57. Q4 4:44
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  58. Q4 4:47
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  59. Q4 4:51
    Ty Jerome misses three point pullup jump shot
  60. Q4 5:03
    +2
    Quinten Post makes two point hook shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    125-100
  61. Q4 5:21
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    133-112
  62. Q4 5:25
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:30
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:34
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:36
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 5:51
    +3
    Gary Payton II makes three point jump shot (Gui Santos assists)
    123-91
  67. Q4 6:14
    +3
    Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot
    133-112
  68. Q4 6:30
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  69. Q4 6:30
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons)
  70. Q4 6:30
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  71. Q4 6:31
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point jump shot
    125-100
  72. Q4 6:35
    Grizzlies turnover
  73. Q4 6:37
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  74. Q4 6:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  75. Q4 6:45
    Grizzlies turnover
  76. Q4 6:59
    Malevy Leons turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  77. Q4 6:59
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  78. Q4 7:03
    Grizzlies turnover
  79. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    125-100
  80. Q4 7:32
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  81. Q4 7:35
    Taylor Hendricks misses two point jump shot
  82. Q4 7:53
    GG Jackson personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  83. Q4 7:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    125-100
  84. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    133-112
  85. Q4 8:10
    Will Richard personal foul
  86. Q4 8:10
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  87. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    125-100
  88. Q4 8:10
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  89. Q4 8:20
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  90. Q4 8:20
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  91. Q4 8:20
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks)
  92. Q4 8:22
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-88
  93. Q4 8:24
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 8:42
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-88
  96. Q4 8:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-88
  97. Q4 9:05
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  98. Q4 9:08
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 9:15
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:15
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-88
  101. Q4 9:19
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:21
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:23
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:26
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  105. Q4 9:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  106. Q4 9:41
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    118-88
  107. Q4 9:51
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-88
  108. Q4 10:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-88
  109. Q4 10:32
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul
  110. Q4 10:32
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-80
  111. Q4 10:32
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  112. Q4 10:32
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-88
  113. Q4 10:52
    +2
    Ty Jerome makes two point driving finger roll layup
    101-80
  114. Q4 11:03
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
    101-80
  115. Q4 11:24
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    101-80
  116. Q4 11:36
    +3
    Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    101-80
  117. Q3 00:00
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  119. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  120. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
  121. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  122. Q3 00:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    101-80
  123. Q3 00:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  124. Q3 00:26
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  125. Q3 00:26
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  127. Q3 00:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:50
    Warriors personal foul
  129. Q3 00:50
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:50
    GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  131. Q3 00:50
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-80
  132. Q3 1:00
    +1
    Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-72
  133. Q3 1:00
    Walter Clayton Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
  134. Q3 1:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  135. Q3 1:00
    +1
    Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-80
  136. Q3 1:01
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 1:10
    GG Jackson personal foul
  138. Q3 1:10
    GG Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
  139. Q3 1:10
    Warriors personal foul
  140. Q3 1:15
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:18
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  142. Q3 1:39
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  143. Q3 1:39
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  144. Q3 1:39
    Warriors personal foul
  145. Q3 1:39
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  146. Q3 1:39
    GG Jackson turnover (lost ball)
  147. Q3 1:39
    Warriors challenge timeout
  148. Q3 1:51
    Rayan Rupert shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  149. Q3 1:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  150. Q3 1:51
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  151. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-72
  152. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    96-73
  153. Q3 1:59
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  155. Q3 2:18
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point jump shot
    93-72
  156. Q3 2:22
    Grizzlies turnover
  157. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point jump shot
    94-72
  158. Q3 2:38
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  159. Q3 2:40
    Pat Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
  160. Q3 3:00
    +2
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes two point jump shot
    94-72
  161. Q3 3:05
    Warriors turnover
  162. Q3 3:14
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  163. Q3 3:17
    Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 3:18
    Rayan Rupert offensive rebound
  165. Q3 3:22
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses two point jump shot
  166. Q3 3:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    88-70
  167. Q3 3:45
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:49
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 3:54
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  170. Q3 3:58
    Rayan Rupert misses two point running layup
  171. Q3 4:02
    Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
  172. Q3 4:07
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 4:28
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  174. Q3 4:31
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 4:49
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
    86-70
  176. Q3 4:49
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  177. Q3 4:49
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
  178. Q3 4:53
    Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Gui Santos steals)
  179. Q3 5:02
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Will Richard assists)
    86-70
  180. Q3 5:20
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    82-70
  181. Q3 5:21
    Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
  182. Q3 5:25
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 5:31
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
  184. Q3 5:31
    Warriors personal foul
  185. Q3 5:37
    Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
  186. Q3 5:40
    Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 5:53
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  188. Q3 5:57
    Rayan Rupert misses three point jump shot
  189. Q3 6:12
    Warriors turnover
  190. Q3 6:13
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
  191. Q3 6:26
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  192. Q3 6:28
    Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
  193. Q3 6:40
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  194. Q3 6:43
    Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 7:04
    Moses Moody personal foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
  196. Q3 7:04
    Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
  197. Q3 7:04
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  198. Q3 7:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    82-68
  199. Q3 7:31
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  200. Q3 7:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  201. Q3 7:54
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  202. Q3 7:54
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
  203. Q3 7:54
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  204. Q3 7:55
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    82-66
  205. Q3 8:11
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    82-63
  206. Q3 8:32
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    79-63
  207. Q3 8:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    79-60
  208. Q3 9:04
    Grizzlies turnover
  209. Q3 9:06
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  210. Q3 9:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 9:27
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    76-60
  212. Q3 9:33
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  213. Q3 9:36
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 9:41
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  215. Q3 9:44
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  216. Q3 9:54
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  217. Q3 9:58
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  218. Q3 10:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    76-58
  219. Q3 10:34
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    74-58
  220. Q3 10:41
    Warriors personal foul
  221. Q3 10:50
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  222. Q3 10:52
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  223. Q3 11:06
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  224. Q3 11:09
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 11:16
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  226. Q3 11:19
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 11:50
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    74-56
  228. Q3 11:58
    Grizzlies violation
  229. Q2 00:00
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  230. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  231. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  232. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells)
  233. Q2 00:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  234. Q2 00:15
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    74-53
  235. Q2 00:31
    Grizzlies personal foul
  236. Q2 00:31
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    72-50
  237. Q2 00:31
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    73-50
  238. Q2 00:31
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells)
  239. Q2 00:31
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  240. Q2 00:31
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    74-50
  241. Q2 00:44
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  242. Q2 00:46
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  243. Q2 00:53
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    71-50
  244. Q2 1:11
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    68-50
  245. Q2 1:16
    Brandin Podziemski turnover
  246. Q2 1:32
    +3
    GG Jackson makes three point jump shot
    68-48
  247. Q2 1:36
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  248. Q2 1:40
    Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
  249. Q2 1:53
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  250. Q2 1:56
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  251. Q2 2:09
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  252. Q2 2:10
    Warriors personal foul
  253. Q2 2:10
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-45
  254. Q2 2:10
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  255. Q2 2:11
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  256. Q2 2:11
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
  257. Q2 2:11
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells)
  258. Q2 2:28
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    68-44
  259. Q2 2:32
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  260. Q2 2:34
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  261. Q2 2:50
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  262. Q2 2:53
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  263. Q2 3:03
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  264. Q2 3:08
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 3:17
    Warriors turnover
  266. Q2 3:31
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    65-44
  267. Q2 3:44
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    65-41
  268. Q2 3:59
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    63-41
  269. Q2 4:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  270. Q2 4:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  271. Q2 4:11
    Warriors offensive rebound
  272. Q2 4:11
    Grizzlies personal foul
  273. Q2 4:11
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-39
  274. Q2 4:11
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-39
  275. Q2 4:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  276. Q2 4:33
    Warriors defensive rebound
  277. Q2 4:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  278. Q2 4:36
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  279. Q2 4:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    61-39
  280. Q2 4:46
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  281. Q2 4:46
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
  282. Q2 4:48
    Grizzlies turnover
  283. Q2 4:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  284. Q2 4:55
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
  285. Q2 5:04
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    59-39
  286. Q2 5:06
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  287. Q2 5:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 5:16
    Grizzlies turnover
  289. Q2 5:25
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  290. Q2 5:27
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  291. Q2 5:27
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 5:31
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  293. Q2 5:40
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  294. Q2 5:44
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 5:56
    Warriors personal foul
  296. Q2 6:09
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    56-39
  297. Q2 6:11
    Warriors offensive rebound
  298. Q2 6:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  299. Q2 6:13
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    53-39
  300. Q2 6:13
    Grizzlies personal foul
  301. Q2 6:13
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  302. Q2 6:13
    Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  303. Q2 6:26
    Grizzlies turnover
  304. Q2 6:35
    Warriors turnover
  305. Q2 6:54
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  306. Q2 6:54
    +2
    GG Jackson makes two point jump shot
    50-39
  307. Q2 6:58
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  308. Q2 7:08
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  309. Q2 7:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    49-37
  310. Q2 7:08
    Grizzlies personal foul
  311. Q2 7:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks)
  312. Q2 7:08
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  313. Q2 7:08
    +1
    Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    50-37
  314. Q2 7:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 7:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    47-37
  316. Q2 7:37
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    47-35
  317. Q2 7:42
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  318. Q2 7:46
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  319. Q2 8:04
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  320. Q2 8:08
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 8:29
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  322. Q2 8:32
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 8:40
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  324. Q2 8:44
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 9:05
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    44-35
  326. Q2 9:14
    Warriors personal foul
  327. Q2 9:14
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  328. Q2 9:14
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  329. Q2 9:14
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  330. Q2 9:14
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-33
  331. Q2 9:14
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-33
  332. Q2 9:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  333. Q2 9:36
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  334. Q2 9:39
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 9:51
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    42-33
  336. Q2 9:58
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  337. Q2 10:01
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 10:18
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    39-33
  339. Q2 10:27
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  340. Q2 10:29
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  341. Q2 10:36
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  342. Q2 10:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  343. Q2 10:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  344. Q2 10:48
    Grizzlies personal foul
  345. Q2 10:48
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point driving layup
  346. Q2 10:48
    Warriors offensive rebound
  347. Q2 11:12
    Warriors personal foul
  348. Q2 11:12
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-32
  349. Q2 11:12
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-33
  350. Q2 11:35
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    36-31
  351. Q2 11:52
    Grizzlies turnover
  352. Q1 00:00
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    34-31
  353. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  354. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  355. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  356. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
  357. Q1 00:03
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  358. Q1 00:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  359. Q1 00:03
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  360. Q1 00:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 00:09
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  362. Q1 00:12
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  363. Q1 00:30
    Warriors personal foul
  364. Q1 00:30
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
  365. Q1 00:30
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  366. Q1 00:30
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  367. Q1 00:37
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  368. Q1 00:40
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  369. Q1 00:51
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    34-28
  370. Q1 1:16
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    32-28
  371. Q1 1:28
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    32-25
  372. Q1 1:41
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  373. Q1 1:43
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  374. Q1 1:43
    Warriors personal foul
  375. Q1 1:43
    +1
    Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    30-25
  376. Q1 1:43
    Rayan Rupert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  377. Q1 1:43
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., Rayan Rupert)
  378. Q1 1:43
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  379. Q1 1:47
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    30-24
  380. Q1 1:48
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  381. Q1 1:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  382. Q1 2:00
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  383. Q1 2:03
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  384. Q1 2:19
    Warriors turnover
  385. Q1 2:28
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  386. Q1 2:28
    Warriors personal foul
  387. Q1 2:28
    Grizzlies personal foul
  388. Q1 2:28
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  389. Q1 2:28
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  390. Q1 2:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 2:34
    Malevy Leons defensive rebound
  392. Q1 2:38
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  393. Q1 2:50
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    28-24
  394. Q1 3:01
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  395. Q1 3:06
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  396. Q1 3:11
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  397. Q1 3:15
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 3:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    25-24
  399. Q1 3:44
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    25-22
  400. Q1 4:00
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    23-21
  401. Q1 4:00
    Warriors personal foul
  402. Q1 4:00
    +1
    Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    23-22
  403. Q1 4:12
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    23-19
  404. Q1 4:29
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    20-19
  405. Q1 4:50
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    20-17
  406. Q1 5:02
    Grizzlies personal foul
  407. Q1 5:02
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  408. Q1 5:02
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
  409. Q1 5:02
    +1
    Gui Santos makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    18-17
  410. Q1 5:02
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
  411. Q1 5:02
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
  412. Q1 5:22
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    17-17
  413. Q1 5:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 5:37
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  415. Q1 5:37
    Warriors personal foul
  416. Q1 5:37
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard)
  417. Q1 5:37
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
  418. Q1 5:38
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  419. Q1 5:45
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 5:49
    Warriors turnover
  421. Q1 6:09
    +3
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot
    17-15
  422. Q1 6:13
    Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
  423. Q1 6:17
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  424. Q1 6:28
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    17-12
  425. Q1 6:29
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  426. Q1 6:29
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
  427. Q1 6:29
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  428. Q1 6:30
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  429. Q1 6:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 6:45
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    14-12
  431. Q1 6:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    14-10
  432. Q1 7:11
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  433. Q1 7:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 7:27
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    11-10
  435. Q1 7:50
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    9-9
  436. Q1 7:50
    Warriors personal foul
  437. Q1 7:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
  438. Q1 7:50
    +1
    Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    9-10
  439. Q1 8:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    9-7
  440. Q1 8:11
    Grizzlies turnover
  441. Q1 8:22
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  442. Q1 8:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  443. Q1 8:34
    Warriors personal foul
  444. Q1 8:34
    Brandin Podziemski turnover
  445. Q1 8:45
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    7-7
  446. Q1 8:50
    Warriors turnover
  447. Q1 9:03
    Warriors personal foul
  448. Q1 9:03
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    7-4
  449. Q1 9:03
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
  450. Q1 9:03
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-5
  451. Q1 9:22
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    7-3
  452. Q1 9:34
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  453. Q1 9:38
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  454. Q1 9:44
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  455. Q1 9:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  456. Q1 9:58
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  457. Q1 10:01
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 10:05
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  459. Q1 10:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 10:39
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    4-3
  461. Q1 10:41
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
  462. Q1 10:43
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 10:57
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    4-0
  464. Q1 11:20
    Warriors defensive rebound
  465. Q1 11:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  466. Q1 11:21
    Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
  467. Q1 11:26
    Al Horford violation
  468. Q1 11:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  469. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  470. Q1 12:00
    Al Horford vs. Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
  471. Q1 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells)
  472. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors -178, Grizzlies +152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 62%
  • Grizzlies: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 62%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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