Spurs vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Rockets NBA game on January 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Spurs
111
99
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234T
Spurs
26 65 20 0 111
Rockets
36 50 13 0 99
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Rockets
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
26 65 20 0 111
Rockets
36 50 13 0 99
Q4 00:10 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Alperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:31 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Dylan Harper misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:23 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
Q4 2:44 Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  3. Q4 00:20
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:40
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  5. Q4 00:40
    Rockets offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:40
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Lindy Waters III, Bismack Biyombo, Dylan Harper)
  7. Q4 00:40
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  8. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-99
  9. Q4 00:51
    Alperen Sengun shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  10. Q4 00:51
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-99
  11. Q4 00:51
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Jae'Sean Tate, Dorian Finney-Smith, Aaron Holiday)
  12. Q4 00:51
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-99
  13. Q4 1:06
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  14. Q4 1:08
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:17
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:18
    Alperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot
  17. Q4 1:30
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:31
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  19. Q4 1:32
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 1:35
    Jump ball. (Kevin Durant gains possession)
  21. Q4 1:35
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
  22. Q4 1:52
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  23. Q4 1:54
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 2:04
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:09
    Dylan Harper misses three point stepback jump shot
  26. Q4 2:20
    Rockets turnover
  27. Q4 2:23
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  28. Q4 2:23
    Rockets offensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  30. Q4 2:39
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  31. Q4 2:39
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    111-99
  32. Q4 2:39
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  33. Q4 2:39
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  34. Q4 2:42
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  35. Q4 2:44
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 3:01
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:03
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  39. Q4 3:41
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  40. Q4 3:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  41. Q4 4:03
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  42. Q4 4:03
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  44. Q4 4:36
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving reverse layup (Kevin Durant assists)
    107-96
  45. Q4 5:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  46. Q4 5:18
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  47. Q4 5:18
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  48. Q4 5:18
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 5:18
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-99
  50. Q4 5:18
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  51. Q4 5:18
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell)
  52. Q4 5:28
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  53. Q4 5:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 5:49
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    91-86
  55. Q4 5:56
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    107-96
  56. Q4 6:00
    Rockets turnover (Victor Wembanyama steals)
  57. Q4 6:05
    Spurs turnover (Amen Thompson steals)
  58. Q4 6:08
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  59. Q4 6:10
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 6:22
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (Tari Eason steals)
  61. Q4 6:26
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  62. Q4 6:29
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 6:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 6:45
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 6:45
    Rockets defensive rebound
  66. Q4 6:45
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
  67. Q4 6:45
    Rockets defensive rebound
  68. Q4 6:56
    Rockets offensive rebound
  69. Q4 6:56
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Kevin Durant's two point pullup jump shot
  70. Q4 6:56
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  71. Q4 6:57
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  72. Q4 6:57
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  73. Q4 7:07
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  74. Q4 7:11
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  75. Q4 7:14
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 7:26
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:29
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 7:47
    Harrison Barnes personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  79. Q4 7:47
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-86
  80. Q4 7:47
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-99
  81. Q4 7:47
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Dorian Finney-Smith, Amen Thompson)
  82. Q4 8:08
    Kevin Durant personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  83. Q4 8:08
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  84. Q4 8:08
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    107-96
  85. Q4 8:08
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  86. Q4 8:12
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  87. Q4 8:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  88. Q4 8:23
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  89. Q4 8:25
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    107-96
  90. Q4 8:25
    Rockets personal foul
  91. Q4 8:25
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  92. Q4 8:32
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:32
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:48
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  95. Q4 8:48
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell)
  96. Q4 8:48
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  97. Q4 9:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  98. Q4 9:16
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  99. Q4 9:16
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:40
    Rockets personal foul
  101. Q4 9:40
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  102. Q4 9:40
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-99
  103. Q4 9:45
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  104. Q4 9:46
    Alperen Sengun misses two point floating jump shot
  105. Q4 9:56
    Spurs personal foul
  106. Q4 10:05
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:07
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point running jump shot
  108. Q4 10:11
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  109. Q4 10:15
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:17
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Amen Thompson's two point jump shot
  111. Q4 10:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  112. Q4 10:17
    Rockets offensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:30
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  114. Q4 10:33
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  115. Q4 10:49
    Spurs personal foul
  116. Q4 11:09
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  117. Q4 11:12
    Rockets personal foul
  118. Q4 11:12
    Spurs violation
  119. Q4 11:12
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  120. Q4 11:12
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  121. Q4 11:19
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  122. Q4 11:20
    Amen Thompson blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point putback layup
  123. Q4 11:21
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  124. Q4 11:23
    Julian Champagnie misses three point running jump shot
  125. Q4 11:31
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  126. Q4 11:31
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  127. Q4 11:47
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  128. Q4 11:47
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-86
  129. Q4 11:47
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  130. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  131. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  132. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell)
  133. Q3 00:01
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  134. Q3 00:01
    Spurs offensive rebound
  135. Q3 00:14
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    84-86
  136. Q3 00:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    84-84
  137. Q3 00:38
    Dylan Harper personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  138. Q3 00:38
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  139. Q3 00:38
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  140. Q3 00:38
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-86
  141. Q3 1:01
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point pullup jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    86-86
  142. Q3 1:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  143. Q3 1:18
    Spurs personal foul
  144. Q3 1:18
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-84
  145. Q3 1:18
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-99
  146. Q3 1:18
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  147. Q3 1:20
    Spurs turnover
  148. Q3 1:31
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    79-80
  149. Q3 1:47
    Devin Vassell misses two point jump shot
  150. Q3 1:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  151. Q3 1:47
    Rockets defensive rebound
  152. Q3 1:54
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  153. Q3 1:59
    Amen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
  154. Q3 2:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    84-84
  155. Q3 2:19
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  156. Q3 2:22
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  157. Q3 2:38
    Reed Sheppard turnover
  158. Q3 2:38
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  159. Q3 2:50
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
    74-78
  160. Q3 3:03
    Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (Devin Vassell steals)
  161. Q3 3:16
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  162. Q3 3:16
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  163. Q3 3:16
    Spurs offensive rebound
  164. Q3 3:16
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-86
  165. Q3 3:18
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  166. Q3 3:21
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:31
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:33
    Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 3:52
    Dorian Finney-Smith turnover
  170. Q3 3:58
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  171. Q3 4:01
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  172. Q3 4:13
    Rockets personal foul
  173. Q3 4:13
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  174. Q3 4:13
    Spurs offensive rebound
  175. Q3 4:15
    Devin Vassell misses three point running jump shot
  176. Q3 4:21
    Rockets turnover
  177. Q3 4:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    74-78
  178. Q3 4:40
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  179. Q3 4:40
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  180. Q3 4:40
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  181. Q3 4:43
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  182. Q3 4:45
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 5:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  184. Q3 5:00
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  185. Q3 5:00
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-78
  186. Q3 5:00
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    72-78
  187. Q3 5:00
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  188. Q3 5:03
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 5:04
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  190. Q3 5:07
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  191. Q3 5:10
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  192. Q3 5:16
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  193. Q3 5:17
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 5:26
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point floating jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
    70-78
  195. Q3 5:47
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    91-86
  196. Q3 6:02
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  197. Q3 6:05
    Amen Thompson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  198. Q3 6:15
    Rockets personal foul
  199. Q3 6:15
    Luke Kornet technical foul (Double)
  200. Q3 6:15
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  201. Q3 6:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  202. Q3 6:27
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  203. Q3 6:33
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  204. Q3 6:53
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    67-76
  205. Q3 6:53
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  206. Q3 6:53
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
  207. Q3 7:00
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  208. Q3 7:03
    Spurs personal foul
  209. Q3 7:03
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  210. Q3 7:03
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  211. Q3 7:03
    Rockets offensive rebound
  212. Q3 7:14
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  213. Q3 7:14
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 7:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  215. Q3 7:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  216. Q3 7:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    65-74
  217. Q3 7:51
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:51
    Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:52
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  220. Q3 7:52
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  221. Q3 7:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  222. Q3 7:52
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point putback layup
    91-86
  223. Q3 7:52
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  224. Q3 7:52
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes)
  225. Q3 7:59
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 8:05
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  227. Q3 8:07
    Stephon Castle misses two point layup
  228. Q3 8:07
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  229. Q3 8:09
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  230. Q3 8:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-72
  231. Q3 8:49
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    63-70
  232. Q3 9:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  233. Q3 9:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  234. Q3 9:10
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  235. Q3 9:10
    Rockets offensive rebound
  236. Q3 9:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  237. Q3 9:20
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  238. Q3 9:20
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  239. Q3 9:36
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    60-70
  240. Q3 9:36
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  241. Q3 9:39
    Alperen Sengun misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  242. Q3 10:04
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    60-68
  243. Q3 10:15
    Tari Eason personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  244. Q3 10:15
    Tari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Stephon Castle steals)
  245. Q3 10:22
    Spurs turnover
  246. Q3 10:34
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
    58-68
  247. Q3 10:49
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    58-65
  248. Q3 10:56
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  249. Q3 10:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  250. Q3 10:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  251. Q3 11:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  252. Q3 11:19
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-86
  253. Q3 11:19
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-86
  254. Q3 11:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    60-68
  255. Q3 11:29
    Spurs personal foul
  256. Q3 11:29
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    91-86
  257. Q3 11:36
    Harrison Barnes misses three point running jump shot
  258. Q3 11:42
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  259. Q3 11:47
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  260. Q3 11:48
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  261. Q2 00:00
    Josh Okogie misses three point driving floating jump shot
  262. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  263. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  264. Q2 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  265. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  266. Q2 00:02
    Dylan Harper blocks Tari Eason's two point pullup jump shot
  267. Q2 00:02
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (bad pass) (Josh Okogie steals)
  268. Q2 00:03
    Rockets turnover
  269. Q2 00:03
    Rockets offensive rebound
  270. Q2 00:03
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  271. Q2 00:27
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point running pullup jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    54-62
  272. Q2 00:33
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  273. Q2 00:34
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  274. Q2 00:55
    Rockets personal foul
  275. Q2 00:55
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  276. Q2 00:55
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-86
  277. Q2 00:55
    Spurs offensive rebound
  278. Q2 1:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  279. Q2 1:02
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  280. Q2 1:04
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  281. Q2 1:06
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  282. Q2 1:26
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    51-62
  283. Q2 1:31
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  284. Q2 1:33
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  285. Q2 1:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    51-62
  286. Q2 1:47
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  287. Q2 1:52
    Keldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  288. Q2 2:09
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  289. Q2 2:12
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  290. Q2 2:12
    Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  291. Q2 2:12
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point hook shot
    54-62
  292. Q2 2:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  293. Q2 2:31
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  294. Q2 2:32
    Alperen Sengun misses two point tip layup
  295. Q2 2:32
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  296. Q2 2:40
    Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  297. Q2 2:40
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-60
  298. Q2 2:40
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  299. Q2 2:44
    Dylan Harper turnover (bad pass) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
  300. Q2 2:49
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  301. Q2 2:52
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 3:10
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
    54-62
  303. Q2 3:22
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    54-62
  304. Q2 3:22
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  305. Q2 3:22
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  306. Q2 3:22
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
  307. Q2 3:29
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  308. Q2 3:33
    Devin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot
  309. Q2 3:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  310. Q2 3:54
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  311. Q2 3:56
    Keldon Johnson misses three point running jump shot
  312. Q2 4:02
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  313. Q2 4:07
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Alperen Sengun's two point turnaround hook shot
  314. Q2 4:07
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  315. Q2 4:09
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 4:17
    Rockets violation
  317. Q2 4:17
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  318. Q2 4:17
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball)
  319. Q2 4:17
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  320. Q2 4:17
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell)
  321. Q2 4:20
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  322. Q2 4:34
    Stephon Castle turnover
  323. Q2 4:43
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  324. Q2 4:45
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 5:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  326. Q2 5:14
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
    91-86
  327. Q2 5:31
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  328. Q2 5:33
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  329. Q2 5:48
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    43-55
  330. Q2 6:08
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    43-55
  331. Q2 6:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 6:13
    Spurs offensive rebound
  333. Q2 6:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  334. Q2 6:34
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell)
  335. Q2 6:34
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    54-62
  336. Q2 6:34
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  337. Q2 6:34
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  338. Q2 6:34
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  339. Q2 6:38
    Tari Eason misses two point layup
  340. Q2 6:44
    Stephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Tari Eason steals)
  341. Q2 6:52
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  342. Q2 6:56
    Stephon Castle turnover
  343. Q2 7:17
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    54-62
  344. Q2 7:27
    Stoppage (Other)
  345. Q2 7:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-42
  346. Q2 7:42
    Amen Thompson turnover (Victor Wembanyama steals)
  347. Q2 7:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    37-42
  348. Q2 8:01
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  349. Q2 8:04
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 8:06
    Kevin Durant offensive rebound
  351. Q2 8:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  352. Q2 8:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  353. Q2 8:23
    Carter Bryant kicked ball violation
  354. Q2 8:23
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Amen Thompson)
  355. Q2 8:25
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  356. Q2 8:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  357. Q2 8:41
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    37-42
  358. Q2 9:00
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    37-42
  359. Q2 9:11
    Rockets turnover
  360. Q2 9:13
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  361. Q2 9:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  362. Q2 9:37
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    33-40
  363. Q2 9:50
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  364. Q2 9:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  365. Q2 10:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    37-42
  366. Q2 10:30
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  367. Q2 10:33
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  368. Q2 10:47
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  369. Q2 10:49
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  370. Q2 10:57
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point running dunk
    37-42
  371. Q2 11:05
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  372. Q2 11:08
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  373. Q2 11:22
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    91-86
  374. Q2 11:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    35-42
  375. Q2 11:40
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  376. Q2 11:42
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  377. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  378. Q1 00:00
    Clint Capela misses two point layup
  379. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  380. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
  381. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Dorian Finney-Smith, Amen Thompson)
  382. Q1 5:49
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  383. Q1 8:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Rockets
  • Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs +122, Rockets -142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 43%
  • Rockets: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 109-111 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 43%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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