Charlotte vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Charlotte vs. Toronto MLS match on August 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Charlotte
3
:
3
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
CharlotteCHA
M. Cimermancic (13')
Soccer ball icon
W. Zimmerman (56')
Red Card icon
D. Salloi (76')
Soccer ball icon
N. Dorsch (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Aloko (8')
Soccer ball icon
I. Toklomati (20')
Soccer ball icon
H. Kessler (58')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Charlotte
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by N. Dorsch, assisted by D. Etienne
    3-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: D. Diani replaces B. Bronico
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces N. Dorsch
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces B. Kuscevic
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces M. Cimermancic
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces I. Toklomati
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: L. de la Torre replaces P. Biel
  9. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Salloi, assisted by T. Corbeanu
    3-2
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: T. Smalls replaces R. Aloko
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: A. Saint-Maximin replaces L. Abada
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Matheus Pereira replaces A. Coello
  13. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by H. Kessler, assisted by A. Westwood
    3-1
  14. 56'
    Red Card
    W. Zimmerman (Toronto FC) sent off with a straight red card
  15. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by I. Toklomati, assisted by L. Abada
    2-1
  16. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by M. Cimermancic, assisted by J. Sargent
    1-1
  17. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by R. Aloko, assisted by A. Westwood
    1-0

Charlotte vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Charlotte vs. Toronto
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Charlotte +188, Toronto +135, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Charlotte: 36.2%
  • Toronto: 38.9%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Charlotte 1-1 Toronto (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Charlotte vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.9%.

The most likely correct score is Charlotte 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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