St Louis City vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Sporting KC MLS match on August 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
St Louis City
1
:
1
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Harris (55')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lowen (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reid replaces E. Karic
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Orozco replaces C. Wallem
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: P. Ault replaces S. Jeong
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces C. Harris
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
  6. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces T. Calheira
  7. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Holse replaces E. Lowen
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Matan replaces S. Becher
  9. 61'
    Yellow Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
  10. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by C. Harris, assisted by T. Calheira
    1-1
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Miller (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by E. Lowen
    1-0
  13. 21'
    Yellow Card
    C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
  14. 15'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

St Louis City vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City -111, Sporting KC +300, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 51.6%
  • Sporting KC: 25.7%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Sporting KC (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win St Louis City vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.6%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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