Miami vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Philadelphia MLS match on August 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Miami
2
:
2
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
I. Vassilev (11')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pierre (58')
Soccer ball icon
C. Sullivan (90')
Red Card icon
D. Pinter (21')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (26')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Bright (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Miami
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Alladoh (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces D. Pinter
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Red Card
    C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) sent off with a straight red card
  5. 90'
    Red Card
    Y. Bright (Inter Miami) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 87'
    Yellow Card
    M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces J. Bueno
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces S. Reguilon
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ayala replaces T. Segovia
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  12. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Pierre, assisted by M. Iloski
    2-2
  13. 55'
    Yellow Card
    I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
  14. 50'
    Yellow Card
    S. Reguilon (Inter Miami) cautioned
  15. 43'
    Yellow Card
    K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  16. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by I. Fray
    2-1
  17. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by D. Pinter, assisted by L. Suarez
    1-1
  18. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev, assisted by F. Westfield
    0-1

Miami vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +165, Philadelphia +135, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 34.6%
  • Philadelphia: 44.7%
  • Draw: 20.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 1-2 Philadelphia (7.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Miami vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.7%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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