Portland vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Seattle MLS match on July 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

Start your FREE 3-day trial of Dimers Pro

FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Portland

Jul 16, 10:30 PM ET Lumen Field

Seattle

Jul 16, 10:30 PM ET Lumen Field

SeattleSEA

Score Summary

PortlandPOR

H. Dotson (87')

K. Kelsy (19')

K. Miller (56')

C. Bassett (60')

K. Kelsy (63')

A. Aravena (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Seattle
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portland
100.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces Antony

90'

Goal scored for Portland Timbers by A. Aravena, assisted by D. Da Costa

5-1

87'

Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces K. Kelsy

87'

Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Chara

87'

Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by H. Dotson, assisted by A. Rusnak

4-1

84'

Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Hawkins replaces A. Lopez

73'

Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Aravena replaces A. Lassiter

73'

Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Caicedo replaces C. Bassett

64'

Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. De Rosario replaces S. Brunell

64'

Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Kingston replaces K. Kossa-Rienzi

64'

Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Arriola replaces J. Ferreira

63'

Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy

4-0

60'

Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Bassett, assisted by D. Da Costa

3-0

56'

Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Miller, assisted by B. Bye

2-0

49'

P. Rothrock (Seattle Sounders) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Musovski replaces J. Morris

41'

J. Ragen (Seattle Sounders) cautioned

19'

Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy, assisted by J. Fory

1-0

Portland vs. Seattle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Portland vs. Seattle
Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Venue: Lumen Field

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Portland +460, Seattle -179, draw +380
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Portland: 17.7%
Seattle: 62.2%
Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-2 Seattle (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

Today's best bets
Moneyline probabilities
Total goals probabilities
Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Portland vs. Seattle? Prediction & correct score

Seattle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.2%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-2 Seattle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Portland vs. Seattle, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.