LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
1
3
May 13, 8:30 PM ET
Sporting KC
May 13, 8:30 PM ET
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
Capita (32')
Soccer ball icon
D. Joveljic (45')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harris (70')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel Pec (89')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces D. Joveljic
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Gabriel Pec, assisted by J. Haak
1-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reynolds replaces J. Davis
80'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Pec (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces M. Reus
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by C. Harris, assisted by M. Garcia
0-3
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yamane replaces M. Cuevas
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Thommy replaces L. Sanabria
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Haak replaces C. Garces
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Garcia replaces T. Calheira
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
49'
Yellow Card
M. Cuevas (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces Capita
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces H. Miller
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic, assisted by C. Harris
0-2
41'
Yellow Card
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by Capita, assisted by C. Harris
0-1

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $10, Get a $20 Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
$1,000 First Bet Reset Paid in Bonus Bets!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy -110, Sporting KC +310, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 52.7%
  • Sporting KC: 25.6%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.