Chicago vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Montreal MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Chicago
2
0
May 16, 4:30 PM ET Saputo Stadium
Montreal
May 16, 4:30 PM ET Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
P. Zinckernagel (14')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
P. Dithejane (Chicago Fire) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces L. Petrasso
82'
Yellow Card
B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces W. Carmona
71'
Yellow Card
P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Haile-Selassie
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces P. Zinckernagel
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
2-0
62'
Yellow Card
B. Craig (CF Montreal) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Gutman replaces V. Radojevic
57'
Yellow Card
M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces V. Loturi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces S. Piette
36'
Yellow Card
S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
1-0
6'
Yellow Card
V. Radojevic (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Chicago vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +130, Montreal +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 37.8%
  • Montreal: 38.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 Montreal (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Chicago vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Montreal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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