Chicago vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Montreal MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $119.99
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
Chicago
2
0
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
P. Zinckernagel (14')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    P. Dithejane (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces L. Petrasso
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces W. Carmona
  5. 71'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Haile-Selassie
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces P. Zinckernagel
  8. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
    2-0
  9. 62'
    Yellow Card
    B. Craig (CF Montreal) cautioned
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Gutman replaces V. Radojevic
  11. 57'
    Yellow Card
    M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces V. Loturi
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces S. Piette
  14. 36'
    Yellow Card
    S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
  15. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
    1-0
  16. 6'
    Yellow Card
    V. Radojevic (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Chicago vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +130, Montreal +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 37.8%
  • Montreal: 38.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 Montreal (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Chicago vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Montreal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chicago vs. Montreal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.