Rays vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Orioles MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Freddy Peralta 5-10, 5.27 ERA
3
5
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Trevor Rogers 8-8, 4.15 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 1
Orioles
1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 X 5 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    0%
  • Orioles
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Cedric Mullins flies out to center field to Colton Cowser.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4000001.0000.000
2 R. Vilade RF4020001.5001.000
3 J. Aranda 1B1000001.0000.000
4 J. Caminero 3B4120000.5001.250
5 C. Simpson LF4011001.2500.500
6 J. Mateo 2B4100001.0000.000
7 C. Mullins CF1000000.0000.000
8 L. Hicks C2000011.0000.333
9 T. Walls SS3000002.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B3111000.3330.917
2 P. Alonso 1B4123100.5001.750
3 G. Henderson SS3010010.3330.833
4 T. O'Neill DH4000002.0000.000
5 S. Basallo C3000000.0000.000
6 D. Beavers LF3111101.3331.666
7 C. Mayo 3B2100001.0000.333
8 C. Cowser CF3120001.6671.334
9 L. Taveras RF3010001.3330.666

Rays vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rays (+1.5, -190), Orioles (-1.5, +168)
  • Moneyline: Rays +112, Orioles -113
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rays: 47.6%
  • Orioles: 52.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 47.6%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 52.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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