Nationals vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Marlins MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Brad Lord 5-2, 4.04 ERA
2
3
loanDepot park
Marlins
Ryan Gusto 0-3, 4.70 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 9 1
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Javier Sanoja singles to center field. Jakob Marsee to second. Esteury Ruiz to third. Agustín Ramírez scores.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Lile LF5031001.6001.200
2 J. Vivas 2B5000001.0000.000
3 A. Chaparro DH3010010.3330.833
4 A. Ortiz 1B4000001.0000.000
5 B. House 3B4010001.2500.500
6 K. Ruiz C4121100.5001.750
7 D. Crews RF4010001.2500.500
8 J. Tena SS1000001.0000.000
9 J. Young CF2100020.0000.500
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF3110011.3331.600
2 J. Sanoja 3B3122001.6671.334
3 G. Conine 1B3000012.0000.250
4 X. Edwards 2B3000010.0000.250
5 O. Lopez SS4011000.2500.500
6 H. Hernández LF3000011.0000.250
7 J. Mack C4000000.0000.000
8 A. Ramírez DH2100021.0000.500
9 E. Ruiz RF2010001.5001.000

Nationals vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -156), Marlins (-1.5, +153)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +138, Marlins -138
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-106/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 44.0%
  • Marlins: 56.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 44.0%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 56.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.