Mets vs. White Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. White Sox MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Sean Manaea 4-5, 4.22 ERA
4
6
Rate Field
White Sox
Sean Burke 7-6, 3.15 ERA
Rate Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 8 0
White Sox
0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 6 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • White Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jake Rogers homers to center field. Braden Montgomery scores.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF4000001.0000.000
2 F. Lindor SS4000000.0000.000
3 B. Bichette DH4111100.2501.250
4 C. Benge RF4110002.2500.500
5 J. Young 1B4110000.2500.500
6 L. Robert LF3110011.3331.167
7 B. Baty 3B4022001.5001.250
8 M. Semien 2B4021001.5001.000
9 F. Alvarez C4000003.0000.000
White Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Meidroth 2B4000000.0000.000
2 M. Murakami 1B3100011.0000.250
3 M. Vargas 3B3122111.6672.750
4 S. Antonacci LF1000000.0000.000
5 B. Montgomery PR0100000.0000.000
6 B. Doyle CF3000001.0000.000
7 L. Acuña SS4000001.0000.000
8 J. Rogers C4112101.2501.250
9 T. Peters RF3000001.0000.000

Mets vs. White Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. CHI White Sox White Sox
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:40PM ET
  • Venue: Rate Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -180), White Sox (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Mets +117, White Sox -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-111/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 50.6%
  • White Sox: 49.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 50.6%, while the White Sox have a win probability of 49.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the White Sox in the MLB game at Rate Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. White Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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