Cubs vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Nationals MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
David Peterson 6-7, 5.35 ERA
12
6
Nationals Park
Nationals
Jackson Kent 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 4 5 0 3 0 12 13 2
Nationals
0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 6 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Nationals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jacob Young flies out to right field to Seiya Suzuki.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF6111003.1670.500
2 S. Suzuki RF4222011.5001.100
3 A. Bregman DH33373201.0005.000
4 C. Kelly C4000012.0000.200
5 M. Busch 1B5010002.2000.400
6 N. Hoerner 2B5010000.2000.400
7 I. Happ LF3110000.3330.666
8 P. Ramirez 3B4220011.5001.350
9 D. Swanson SS4322111.5002.100
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Crews RF5000001.0000.000
2 A. Ortiz 1B2111100.5002.500
3 B. House 3B5110001.2000.400
4 C. Abrams SS3000023.0000.400
5 H. Ford C5221000.4001.000
6 J. Tena LF11111001.0005.000
7 J. Young CF5020000.4000.800
8 D. Lile DH4023001.5001.000
9 N. Nuñez 2B4010001.2500.500

Cubs vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:45PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +108), Nationals (+1.5, -108)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -150, Nationals +147
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+100/+102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 59.0%
  • Nationals: 41.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 59.0%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 41.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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