Mariners vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Yankees MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mariners
Bryce Miller 4-6, 3.08 ERA
5
10
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Will Warren 8-6, 4.18 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 9 0
Yankees
0 1 2 0 2 0 3 2 X 10 13 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Julio Rodríguez grounds out to shortstop, George Lombard to Luis García.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward DH5010000.2000.400
2 L. Rivas 2B1000001.0000.000
3 R. Arozarena LF4212111.2501.400
4 D. Canzone RF5121100.4001.400
5 J. Rodríguez CF3111120.3331.933
6 J. Naylor 1B2011020.5001.250
7 B. Donovan 3B4010001.2500.750
8 C. Raleigh C2010021.5001.250
9 C. Emerson SS4000004.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5334201.6002.600
2 B. Rice DH4321011.5001.350
3 S. Jones RF4023001.5001.600
4 L. García 1B4000001.0000.000
5 H. Ramos LF3000001.0000.250
6 J. Chisholm 2B3111011.3330.833
7 R. McMahon 3B4021000.5001.250
8 A. Sánchez C1000001.0000.000
9 G. Lombard SS4220001.5001.000

Mariners vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mariners (+1.5, -174), Yankees (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Mariners +127, Yankees -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mariners: 44.2%
  • Yankees: 55.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 44.2%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 55.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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