Red Sox vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Starter not available 4-3, 3.32 ERA
4
6
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
José Soriano 9-6, 3.24 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 8 1
Blue Jays
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 X 6 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Blue Jays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Sogard grounds out to first base, Ernie Clement to Vladimir Guerrero.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Yoshida DH4000001.0000.000
2 C. Rafaela CF4010001.2500.500
3 A. Rutschman C3000011.0000.250
4 W. Contreras 1B3211110.3331.833
5 W. Abreu RF4110000.2500.750
6 C. Durbin 3B4121001.5001.000
7 J. Duran LF4011001.2500.750
8 A. Monasterio SS2011010.5001.000
9 N. Sogard 2B4010000.2500.500
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. McAdoo 3B5020002.4000.800
2 B. Bateman RF5010000.2000.400
3 V. Guerrero 1B5120000.4000.800
4 B. Valenzuela C0100000.0000.000
5 K. Okamoto DH3221010.6671.750
6 A. Giménez SS3110001.3330.833
7 E. Clement 2B3112010.3330.833
8 J. Smith LF0000000.0000.000
9 M. Straw CF4022000.5001.250

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:07PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +144), Blue Jays (+1.5, -144)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -124, Blue Jays +125
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 52.0%
  • Blue Jays: 48.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 52.0%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 48.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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