Mets vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Braves MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Zac Thornton 3-2, 2.52 ERA
3
6
Truist Park
Braves
Tyler Mahle 3-9, 4.83 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 7 0
Braves
0 1 1 0 1 0 3 0 X 6 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Braves
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcus Semien hits into a force out to shortstop. Jared Young out at second.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF3010011.3330.833
2 F. Lindor SS4000001.0000.000
3 B. Bichette 3B4111100.2501.250
4 C. Benge RF4020000.5001.250
5 L. Robert CF3111111.3331.833
6 J. Young 1B4010000.2500.500
7 F. Alvarez DH4000003.0000.000
8 M. Semien 2B2000000.0000.000
9 L. Torrens C3111101.3331.666
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Acuña RF3221010.6671.750
2 D. Baldwin DH4031000.7501.500
3 M. Olson 1B4000002.0000.000
4 O. Albies 2B4000000.0000.000
5 M. Harris CF4000001.0000.000
6 M. Dubón SS4000000.0000.000
7 M. Yastrzemski LF21211001.0004.000
8 A. Riley 3B4231100.7502.500
9 S. Murphy C3010001.3330.666

Mets vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -125), Braves (-1.5, +122)
  • Moneyline: Mets +170, Braves -170
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 42.0%
  • Braves: 58.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 42.0%, while the Braves have a win probability of 58.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Truist Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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