Pirates vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Marlins MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Carmen Mlodzinski 6-4, 3.51 ERA
2
8
loanDepot park
Marlins
Janson Junk 5-7, 4.63 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0
Marlins
0 1 4 1 0 2 0 0 X 8 9 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Esmerlyn Valdez grounds out to shallow infield, Javier Sanoja to Leo Jiménez.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4010001.2500.500
3 B. Reynolds LF3000011.0000.250
4 S. Horwitz 1B4000000.0000.000
5 N. Gonzales 3B3220010.6671.750
6 R. Simon DH4020000.5001.000
7 E. Valdez RF3011000.3330.583
8 J. Gonzalez SS3000001.0000.000
9 H. Davis C3000001.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B4012001.2500.450
2 O. Lopez SS5000000.0000.000
3 G. Conine RF23211301.0004.000
4 H. Hernández LF3212121.3331.933
5 J. Marsee CF5110000.2000.400
6 A. Ramírez DH5121002.4001.000
7 J. Sanoja 3B2110010.5001.167
8 L. Jiménez 1B3001000.0000.250
9 B. Navarreto C0000000.0000.000

Pirates vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (+1.5, -200), Marlins (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +113, Marlins -113
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+115/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 51.5%
  • Marlins: 48.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 51.5%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 48.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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