MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Orioles vs. Twins play [8/10/2026]

Orioles vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Orioles vs. Twins at +104 odds. A 57.1% probability produces an edge of 8.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs carries a 6.4% edge and a probability of 57.4% at -104 odds, according to our model.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Rangers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 52.1% probability in simulations.

Mets vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 5.4% edge and 54.4% probability make Mets vs. Braves over 8.5 runs a value play in the Mets vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Athletics ML (+150)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Athletics ML at +150 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 44.8%.

Padres ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Padres to win at +108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.3%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Royals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs at +100 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Brewers vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs (+111)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 51.6% probability makes Over 7.5 runs at +111 odds a solid value play in today's Brewers vs. Padres matchup.

Blue Jays ML (+163)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 41.9%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Our model projects value on Blue Jays to win at +163 odds. A 41.9% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making Blue Jays the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Blue Jays +1.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Blue Jays +1.5 at -108 odds shows a 55.6% probability and a 3.6% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/10/2026

As of 3:51AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/10/2026]

• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Monday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Monday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
• Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Monday)
• Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 10, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Twins matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.