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Read Article MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Rockies vs. Diamondbacks play [8/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, August 10, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for August 10, 2026 are here, with Rockies vs. Diamondbacks and Royals vs. Dodgers among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [8/10, updated 9:13PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, August 10, 2026.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Rockies vs. Diamondbacks at -104 odds. A 59.5% probability produces an edge of 8.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Royals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Royals vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs carries a 7.8% edge and a probability of 53.9% at +117 odds, according to our model.
Rangers vs. Angels Over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Rangers vs. Angels Over 7.5 runs at -104 odds shows a 6.5% edge, supported by a 57.5% probability in simulations.
Brewers vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (+122)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 50.5%
- Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
A 5.4% edge and 50.5% probability make Brewers vs. Padres over 7.5 runs a value play in the Brewers vs. Padres matchup, per our model.
Athletics ML (+149)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 44.8%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Athletics ML at +149 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 44.8%.
Athletics +1.5 (-111)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Athletics +1.5 at -111 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.
Giants ML (+137)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 45.6%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Astros-Giants to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +137 odds. A 45.6% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Padres ML (+113)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 49.9%
- Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
A 3.0% edge on a 49.9% probability makes Padres to win at +113 odds a solid value play in today's Brewers vs. Padres matchup.
Giants +1.5 (-122)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Our model projects value on Giants +1.5 at -122 odds. A 57.8% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making Giants the favorable side in today's matchup.
Rays vs. Athletics Over 9.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rays vs. Athletics Over 9.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 55.8% probability and a 2.8% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/10/2026
As of 9:13PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 8.5% | 59.5% |
| Royals vs. Dodgers | Over 7.5 runs | +117 @ Polymarket | 7.8% | 53.9% |
| Rangers vs. Angels | Over 7.5 Runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 6.5% | 57.5% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Over 7.5 runs | +122 @ Novig | 5.4% | 50.5% |
| Rays vs. Athletics | Athletics ML | +149 @ Caesars | 4.6% | 44.8% |
| Rays vs. Athletics | Athletics +1.5 | -111 @ Novig | 3.6% | 56.2% |
| Astros vs. Giants | Giants ML | +137 @ Caesars | 3.4% | 45.6% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Padres ML | +113 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 49.9% |
| Astros vs. Giants | Giants +1.5 | -122 @ Polymarket | 2.9% | 57.8% |
| Rays vs. Athletics | Over 9.5 Runs | -113 @ Polymarket | 2.8% | 55.8% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/10/2026]
- Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
- Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Monday)
- Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
- Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
- Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Monday)
- Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Monday)
- Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Pirates vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Cubs vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
- Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
- Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
- Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
- Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Tuesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 10, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Royals vs. Dodgers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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