Brewers vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Padres MLB game on Monday, August 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Brewers
Logan Henderson 6-1, 2.70 ERA
2
3
Petco Park
Padres
Casey Mize 4-7, 3.40 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0
Padres
0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 X 3 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
William Contreras walks.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B4000003.0000.000
2 J. Chourio LF4030001.7501.500
3 J. Bauers 1B4010000.2500.750
4 A. Vaughn 3B4000001.0000.000
5 G. Mitchell CF3000013.0000.250
6 B. Lockridge PR0000000.0000.000
7 C. Yelich DH3112101.3331.666
8 L. Lara RF3010000.3330.666
9 D. Hamilton SS3000000.0000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF4000000.0000.000
2 J. Cronenworth 2B4010002.2500.500
3 M. Machado 3B4000001.0000.000
4 T. France 1B3221100.6672.334
5 J. Merrill CF3112100.3331.666
6 J. Bowen LF0000000.0000.000
7 G. Sheets DH2000012.0000.333
8 F. Fermin C3010002.3331.000
9 S. Song SS2000000.0000.000

Brewers vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +156), Padres (+1.5, -156)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -113, Padres +113
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+122/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 50.3%
  • Padres: 49.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 50.3%, while the Padres have a win probability of 49.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.