Rockies vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Monday, August 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rockies
Gabriel Hughes 0-3, 4.25 ERA
0
9
Chase Field
D-Backs
Michael Soroka 8-3, 3.07 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rockies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1
D-Backs
4 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 X 9 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockies
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Kyle Karros grounds out to shortstop. Mickey Moniak out at second.
Quick Box Score
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. McCarthy CF3010011.3330.833
2 C. Carrigg SS4000000.0000.000
3 T. Rumfield 1B4010000.2500.500
4 B. Sullivan PH1000000.0000.000
5 M. Moniak LF2000021.0000.500
6 K. Karros 3B4000002.0000.000
7 W. Castro 2B3010002.3330.666
8 T. Johnston DH3020000.6671.334
9 J. Beck RF2000010.0000.333
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas SS2000000.0000.000
2 J. Barrosa RF11110001.0002.000
3 G. Moreno C4121010.5001.850
4 K. Marte 2B4121000.5001.350
5 L. Nootbaar DH3100011.0000.250
6 T. Locklear 1B0000000.0000.000
7 M. Kepler LF4000003.0000.000
8 T. Tawa 3B4000001.0000.000
9 R. Waldschmidt CF3220010.6671.417

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rockies (+1.5, -104), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +104)
  • Moneyline: Rockies +195, Diamondbacks -194
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rockies: 32.9%
  • Diamondbacks: 67.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockies a win probability of 32.9%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 67.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Chase Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockies vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.