Sep 24, 2026
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Read Article Diamondbacks vs. Rockies prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.6% win probability for the Diamondbacks at Coors Field.
The Colorado Rockies will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Coors Field on Thursday, commencing at 3:10 PM ET.
Tanner Gordon (1-5, 6.01 ERA) will be on the bump for the Rockies, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez (15-7, 2.89 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Diamondbacks as the most likely winner in this Diamondbacks vs. Rockies prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 61.6% chance of defeating the Rockies. According to our model, the Diamondbacks (-1.5) have a 51.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 61.6% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-112) / Rockies +1.5 (+108)
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks -178, Rockies +174
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-117/+113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Rockies +1.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Rockies @ 36¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 9.5 @ 54¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB action between the Rockies and Diamondbacks at Coors Field is scheduled to commence at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 61.6% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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