Cubs vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Nationals MLB game on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 8-9, 3.60 ERA
8
6
Nationals Park
Nationals
Jake Irvin 2-5, 5.37 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 1 1 3 1 1 0 1 0 8 9 0
Nationals
2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 6 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Nationals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
CJ Abrams grounds out to second base, Nico Hoerner to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5111101.2001.000
2 S. Suzuki RF5122101.4001.600
3 M. Busch 1B5000001.0000.000
4 A. Bregman 3B4321111.5001.850
5 I. Happ LF3110020.3330.933
6 N. Hoerner 2B3121000.6671.600
7 M. Conforto DH3001012.0000.200
8 C. Kelly C5111000.2000.400
9 D. Swanson SS2001011.0000.500
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Crews CF5111102.2001.000
2 A. Ortiz 1B2010001.5001.000
3 B. House 3B4230011.7501.550
4 C. Abrams SS5112101.2001.000
5 H. Ford C4110002.2500.750
6 M. Mikolas P0000000.0000.000
7 D. Lile RF4000000.0000.000
8 N. Nuñez 2B4011001.2500.500
9 J. Tena LF2000001.0000.000

Cubs vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Time: 6:45PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, -104), Nationals (+1.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -167, Nationals +167
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+122/-127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 60.9%
  • Nationals: 39.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 60.9%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 39.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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