Mets vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Braves MLB game on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 8-7, 3.51 ERA
0
4
Truist Park
Braves
Martín Pérez 7-6, 3.14 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
Braves
0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 X 4 3 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Braves
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Benge grounds out to first base to Matt Olson.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF4000001.0000.000
2 F. Lindor SS3010010.3330.833
3 B. Bichette 3B3000010.0000.250
4 L. Robert CF4010001.2500.500
5 C. Benge RF4020000.5001.000
6 M. Semien 2B3000000.0000.000
7 F. Alvarez C2000012.0000.333
8 J. Polanco DH3000001.0000.000
9 G. Arias 1B3000000.0000.000
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin C3100011.0000.250
2 R. Acuña DH4000000.0000.000
3 M. Olson 1B3212110.3331.833
4 M. Harris CF3010011.3330.833
5 O. Albies 2B3111110.3331.833
6 M. Dubón LF2001000.0000.000
7 L. Thomas RF0000010.0001.000
8 A. Riley 3B3000001.0000.000
9 J. Jarvis SS3000001.0000.000

Mets vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -174), Braves (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Mets +120, Braves -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+102/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 47.4%
  • Braves: 52.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 47.4%, while the Braves have a win probability of 52.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Truist Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.