Phillies vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Cardinals MLB game on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 15-4, 2.65 ERA
0
2
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Andre Pallante 12-6, 3.63 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 X 2 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Cardinals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Bohm grounds out to shallow infield, Masyn Winn to Alec Burleson.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Hill DH0000000.0000.000
2 T. Turner SS2010021.5001.250
3 B. Harper RF2000020.0000.500
4 L. Arraez 2B4000000.0000.000
5 J. Realmuto C4000001.0000.000
6 B. Stott 3B3010012.3330.833
7 B. Marsh LF4010000.2500.500
8 A. Bohm 1B3010010.3330.833
9 J. Crawford CF3000000.0000.000
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4000001.0000.000
2 I. Herrera DH4000002.0000.000
3 J. Walker RF2100010.0000.333
4 A. Burleson 1B3010002.3330.666
5 N. Church CF0000000.0000.000
6 M. Winn SS3021001.6671.334
7 B. Jordan 3B3000000.0000.000
8 E. Pereira LF3111102.3331.666
9 P. Pagés C3010001.3330.666

Phillies vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +115), Cardinals (+1.5, -115)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -150, Cardinals +152
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 60.8%
  • Cardinals: 39.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 60.8%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 39.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.