Sep 24, 2026
MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Rays vs. Yankees play [9/24/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Rangers prediction: Why Texas is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.7% win probability for the Rangers at Globe Life Field.
The Texas Rangers and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Globe Life Field on Thursday, starting at 2:35 PM ET.
The Rangers will have Kumar Rocker (5-11, 4.47 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Zac Thornton (5-5, 3.40 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 50.7% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Mets vs. Rangers prediction, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rangers prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Rangers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rangers a 50.7% chance of beating the Mets. According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 65.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 52.8% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-186) / Rangers -1.5 (+178)
- Moneyline: Mets +117, Rangers -120
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ 65¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Mets @ 46¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB game between the Rangers and Mets at Globe Life Field is scheduled to commence at 2:35 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Time: 2:35 PM ET/11:35AM PT
- Venue: Globe Life Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rangers, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Every Bet, Every Game, Every Day Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$119.99 $149.99
6 months $20 per month Save $30.00 · 20% LIMITED TIME OFFER BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$169.99 $199.99
12 months $14.17 per month Save $30.00 · 15% LIMITED TIME OFFER Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
