Sep 25, 2026
MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Cristopher Sánchez [9/25/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Nick Pivetta [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for September 24, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nick Pivetta, Mason Barnett and Ian Seymour.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Astros vs. Athletics and Reds vs. Braves—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Thursday, 9/24
Sourced from 185+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for September 24, ranked by probability.
Nick Pivetta over 3.5 hits allowed (-167)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 69.7%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Padres' Nick Pivetta over 3.5 hits allowed. A probability of 69.7% gives this play an edge of 7.1% at -167 odds.
Mason Barnett over 4.5 hits allowed (-168)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 69.6%
- Game: Astros vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Mason Barnett’s hits allowed prop shows a 69.6% probability and an 7.0% edge at -168 odds, according to our model.
Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded (-192)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 68.5%
- Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
The data highlights value on Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 68.5% probability and a 2.8% edge at -192.
Nick Pivetta over 1.5 earned runs (-166)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 67.6%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Nick Pivetta over 1.5 earned runs, with a 67.6% probability and an edge of 5.2% at -166 odds.
Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-149)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: Mets vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts for Rangers, showing an edge of 7.2% at -149 odds.
Ian Seymour under 6.5 strikeouts (-150)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 66.5%
- Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Ian Seymour’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.5% at -150 odds, supported by a 66.5% probability according to our model.
Tanner Gordon over 5.5 hits allowed (-133)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Tanner Gordon over 5.5 hits allowed for Rockies, with a 64.5% probability and a 7.4% edge at -133 odds.
Matthew Boyd over 3.5 hits allowed (-137)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: Marlins vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
The data shows value on Matthew Boyd over 3.5 hits allowed, supported by a 62.4% probability at -137 odds and an edge of 4.6%.
Kumar Rocker over 3.5 hits allowed (-119)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Mets vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
An 8.0% edge on the over 3.5 hits allowed line makes Kumar Rocker a value play in Mets vs. Rangers, supported by a 62.3% probability at -119 odds.
Grayson Rodriguez over 4.5 strikeouts (-140)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Grayson Rodriguez over 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 62.3% probability and 4.0% edge at -140 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, September 24, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Nick Pivetta o3.5 hits allowed | -167 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 69.7% |
| Astros vs. Athletics | Mason Barnett o4.5 hits allowed | -168 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 69.6% |
| Rays vs. Yankees | Ian Seymour o14.5 outs recorded | -192 @ FanDuel | 5.2% | 67.6% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Nick Pivetta o1.5 earned runs | -166 @ DraftKings | 5.2% | 67.6% |
| Mets vs. Rangers | Kumar Rocker u4.5 strikeouts | -149 @ DraftKings | 7.2% | 67.0% |
| Rays vs. Yankees | Ian Seymour u6.5 strikeouts | -150 @ FanDuel | 6.5% | 66.5% |
| D-Backs vs. Rockies | Tanner Gordon o5.5 hits allowed | -133 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 64.5% |
| Marlins vs. Cubs | Matthew Boyd o3.5 hits allowed | -137 @ DraftKings | 4.6% | 62.4% |
| Mets vs. Rangers | Kumar Rocker o3.5 hits allowed | -119 @ DraftKings | 8.0% | 62.3% |
| Angels vs. Mariners | Grayson Rodriguez o4.5 strikeouts | -140 @ BetMGM | 4.0% | 62.3% |
Conclusion
For September 24, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Nick Pivetta, Mason Barnett and Ian Seymour. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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