Marlins vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Cubs MLB game on Thursday, September 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 5-6, 3.45 ERA
1
2
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 9-5, 4.06 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Cubs
0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 X 2 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Griffin Conine grounds out to shallow infield, Ryan Zeferjahn to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS3010010.3330.833
2 H. Hernández LF4000001.0000.000
3 J. Marsee CF3011010.3330.833
4 J. Sanoja 3B4010000.2500.500
5 A. Ramírez DH4010001.2500.500
6 K. Stowers PH1000000.0000.000
7 G. Conine PH1000000.0000.000
8 J. Serna 2B3000000.0000.000
9 B. Navarreto C3110001.3331.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3010011.3330.833
2 S. Suzuki RF3121111.6672.417
3 M. Busch 1B4000001.0000.000
4 M. Conforto DH3000010.0000.250
5 I. Happ LF3110010.3331.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B4011000.2500.500
7 P. Ramirez 3B3010011.3330.833
8 C. Kelly C3000000.0000.000
9 D. Swanson SS3000001.0000.000

Marlins vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -117), Cubs (-1.5, +117)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +190, Cubs -194
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+125/-127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 33.8%
  • Cubs: 66.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 33.8%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 66.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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