Padres vs. Dodgers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Dodgers MLB game on Thursday, September 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Nick Pivetta 3-2, 3.30 ERA
4
2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Dodgers
Tyler Glasnow 5-1, 3.46 ERA
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 4 6 0
Dodgers
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Dodgers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Mookie Betts grounds out to shortstop, Manny Machado to Ty France.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF3021011.6671.417
2 J. Bowen LF0000000.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B4000002.0000.000
4 T. France 1B4000002.0000.000
5 J. Merrill CF4110002.2500.750
6 X. Bogaerts SS3100010.0000.250
7 S. Song 2B1100001.0000.000
8 S. Taylor DH4000003.0000.000
9 E. Salas C3121001.6671.334
Dodgers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Ohtani DH5021001.4001.000
2 M. Betts SS4130010.7501.800
3 F. Freeman 1B4020001.5001.000
4 T. Hernández LF3000003.0000.250
5 K. Tucker RF4000001.0000.000
6 M. Rojas 3B1000000.0000.000
7 A. Pages CF3000012.0000.250
8 H. Feduccia C4000000.0000.000
9 T. Edman 2B4100002.0000.000

Padres vs. Dodgers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Dodgers
  • Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
  • Time: 10:10PM ET
  • Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (+1.5, -141), Dodgers (-1.5, +138)
  • Moneyline: Padres +153, Dodgers -156
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 37.6%
  • Dodgers: 62.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 37.6%, while the Dodgers have a win probability of 62.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Dodgers are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.